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RSR ROBBINS Research - Canada Politics July 7, 2013
  Jul 07, 2013

A little background on our Canadian family
The ten provinces in my wonderful country can be seen like brothers and sisters in a family. Ontario though not technically the eldest is the biggest and by history is older (Upper Canada). A son - Ontario likes to retain as much power as possible believing this necessary to ensure the family remains stable and steady - and can move forward. There are complaints from time to time among the younger provincial siblings that Ontario considers itself too important - with its larger population - central financial district - and location of the nations capital city. Ontario's preoccupation with the necessity to somehow hold the country together or provide central direction - often leaves its restrictive and without imagination for important progress.
Quebec (Lower Canada) is the eldest sister. She possesses a strong desire to assert her own independence from Ontario - and from time to time mistakenly frames this desire in such a way to put off her other younger brothers and sisters - who admire - but can be put off with her bohemian ways. What many of Quebec's siblings do not fully understand is that it is this sister - who ignites our collective passion to be different - at one time traditional Catholic and in another setting secular and social democrat - retaining firm values that resist what she perceives is the petulant behaviour of some newcomers - and these qualities not only make her distinct - but in many ways provides real context and immense colour to the Canadian social fabric.
The Atlantic Provinces of New Brunswick, Nova Scotia and Prince Edward Island - are confident in who they are. They understand their place and their importance to the history of the family. New Brunswick the brother accepts its historical role in the Canadian family - both institutionally and as the quieter example of the peaceful co existence of Canada's two legal languages. Nova Scotia is the sister - a painter - wild yet at times reserved - beautiful and fearless, while Prince Edward Island is the unselfish one - the originator of our country - but a later signatory to our Confederation. The youngest member of the family and integral part of the Atlantic provinces - Newfoundland and Labrador is a boy - fun loving, sometimes even reckless - but always laughing - possessing a deep passion with a glint in its emerald eye.
Manitoba - once a rebellious youngster - has become more quiet - peacefully co existing with its western prairie siblings - and older brother Ontario to the east. Manitoba understands - well the language dichotomy in Canada with a powerful history of both francophone and anglophone -citizenry - including the fabulous Metis nation.
Saskatchewan is the little sister/brother twin - whose history is more of hard work then too much talk. As anyone in any other province who has encountered Saskatchewan - in their community - they will tell you that often the most hard working person - most successful - with no complaint or undue expectation-- this is Saskatchewan.
The Albertan brother rides a wild bronco - works hard and plays country music - a dynamic province - with a history of big money and fabulous government policies including one of the best public school systems in the entire world.
British Columbia is the middle sister that dances to her own drummer she is often unsure who she wants to be - a fabulous rich movie star - or a progressive dynamo ready to make the world a better place - starting tomorrow.
Justin Trudeau's federal Liberal Party takes a comfortable lead in popular opinion across Canada, with Thomas Mulcair's New Democrats back (8.5%) and Stephen Harper's Conservative's a distant 3rd place back (9%).
Mr. Trudeau is dominating Ontario and Quebec (42%) and (35%) in Quebec - overtaking the New Democrats on their new home turf in Quebec. Prime Minister Harper is collapsing in Ontario declining from over 40% in the last federal general election in 2011 to (27%) in this ROBBINS survey.
Justin Trudeau has taken the road less traveled to achieve success by engaging with ordinary Canadians while the more pontificating Prime Minister Stephen Harper has been saddled with both political and real disasters - where his wooden and impersonal performance is off putting to many Canadians.

Question #1
Which leader and party in Canada do you currently support? (Depicted as decided to 100%)
Justin Trudeau and Liberal Party of Canada    35.5 %
Thomas Mulcair and New Democratic Party of Canada    27 %
Stephen Harper and Conservative Party of Canada    26.5 %
Elizabeth May and Green Party of Canada    7 %
Other leader and party    4.5 %
Undecided    7 %
Question #2
Do you believe that you receive fair value from the federal government for services in return for your tax dollars?
Yes    45 %
No    47 %
Question #3
Other than RRSP's - or other share holdings in organizations like your union or your company or mutual funds - do you own any shares in Canadian publicly traded companies that you personally manage and control?
Yes    13 %
No    70 %
Question #4
In your opinion should Sikh children be permitted to wear modified Turbans when they participate in organized soccer games?
Yes    61 %
No    37 %
Question #5
In your opinion which of the following responses BEST reflects how long you believe that a landed immigrant should have to wait until they become full Canadian citizens?
Six months    16 %
One year    23 %
Two years    34 %
Five years    26 %
Longer than give years    2 %
Question #6
In a real Canadian circumstance - there are 50 jobs opening with a company in Canada owned primarily by a foreign company registered outside Canada with head offices outside Canada. The company has registered a Canadian subsidiary. There are 50 Canadian citizens who want the jobs and 50 foreign worker applicants for the same jobs from the country where the company is registered. Who in your opinion should get these jobs?
The Canadian applicants    52 %
The foreign worker applicants    18 %
The persons best qualified to do the job    30 %
Question #7
What is your current perception of Canada's Charter of Rights under the Canadian Constitution (1982)?
It ought to primarily reflect the rights of individual Canadians    54 %
It ought to primarily reflect the rights of minority groups in Canada    14.5 %
It ought to reflect the rights of all individuals and minorities    31.5 %
Question #8
A gay man is a long time member of a Catholic Church in Canada. His church leaders and many other parishioners are aware of his sexual orientation. This gay parishioner has donated to the church for years and is also known to participate well in his community. This gay man wants to marry another man who is a parishioner from another Catholic Church - and wants to hold the ceremony in his Catholic parish. Should this man's Catholic Church be compelled under Canada's Constitution and Charter of Rights and Freedoms to hold this man's wedding ceremony?
Yes    46 %
No    43 %
Commentary
Question #2- A slight majority of Canadians do not believe they receive fair value for their federal tax dollars. Quebec (61%), Alberta (49%) and British Columbia (48%) reflect the highest disappointment ("Yes"), while Ontario (52%) represents the least disappointment among the provinces. Scandals in Senate spending - along with other problems involving power and money and benefits for elected officials and public servants - while ordinary Canadians grind it out day to day is causing significant resentment - against the Harper government - that normal efforts in adjustment such as Cabinet shuffles and resignations are unlikely to fix - as most Canadians don't know who these people are anyhow.
Question #3-Only a slight majority of Canadians have shares in Canadian publicly traded companies that they personally manage and control. (We didn't ask these Canadians if they are keeping share certificates and cash under their mattress). Quebec was the lowest at (8%).
Question #4- A majority of Canadians are of the opinion that Sikh children should be permitted to wear modified Turbans while participating in organized soccer matches - but the numbers of support aren't as overwhelming - as we had first anticipated given that children were involved. (45%) of respondents in the province of Quebec, (43%) of respondents in Saskatchewan and British Columbia answered "No" to this question.
Question #5- On balance - Canadians believe that 'landed immigrants' should be required to wait on average two years before they are able to become citizens. (33.5%) of Quebecors want landed immigrants to wait 5 years, while the remainder of the provinces are very near to the national averages.
Question #6- BC, Alberta and Ontario lead the way on expectations of Canadian applicants (56%,54%, 54%) getting the available jobs described in this question, while Quebec (44%) selects Canadians workers - but also represents one third of respondents who did not answer.
Question #7- A majority of Canadians perceive the Canadian Charter of Rights and Freedoms to be representative of the individual rights of Canadians, while only a minority perceive the Charter as representing minority rights, while one third perceive the Charter to represent both individual and minority rights. Produced in 1982 under then Prime Minister Pierre Trudeau - the father of current Liberal leader Justin Trudeau, is Charter is supposed to guarantee political rights to Canadian citizens and the civil rights of everyone in Canada-from all levels of government.
The Canadian Charter is alleged to have dominion over all provincial laws - but there is evidence to suggest that this remains more a theoretical claim - and that our Constitution including the Charter has not attained the level of binding legal supremacy that the U.S. Constitution has.
As a relatively young country - with a Charter in existence just three decades - many cases before the Supreme Court of Canada have involved minority rights - in part to ensure the reasonable integration of other persons to the country - particularly visible minorities. As a consequence many Canadians feel the Charter has fallen short in realizing its promised objective of protecting all of its citizens civil rights.
Question #8- At the turn of the century - then Prime Minister Jean Chretien - former justice minister under Pierre Trudeau when the Canadian Constitution was created - and thereafter Prime Minister Paul Martin sought to have the Supreme Court of Canada 'advise' on the matter of same sex marriage.
Public opinion including ROBBINS reflected - Canadians split on the subject - and Americans slightly less enthusiastic about endorsing gay marriage. Within a decade - more and more Canadians and Americans have come to accept same sex marriage - particularly civil marriage. In Canada now two thirds to three quarters of its citizens either support or are not against same sex marriage.
This ROBBINS survey takes the issue a step further - by presenting the case of two gay Catholic men - apparently good Catholics and good citizens - who want to marry in the Catholic church.
Methodology - A Targeted Survey of Canadians in every province adjusted to voting population for the 2011 general election. The margin of error is 3.09% plus or minus - 19 times out of 20 - and 95% confidence. Research assistance from Jim Van Rassel - (604)328-5498.

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