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Democratic men less convinced about Kerry than Republican men are about Bush
  Aug 05, 2004

A random telephone survey of (total) 204 ‘Democrat’ (102) and ‘Republican’ (102) supporters from these following U.S. ‘swing’ States: Ohio (30-30); North Carolina (12-12); Florida (35-35); Michigan (25-25). This survey has a margin or error of 2.25% 18 times out of 20, @ 98% competency. This survey was undertaken August 2-5, 2004.

Question #1
(Democrats) Are you absolutely convinced that Democratic Presidential candidate John Kerry is the correct person to be the next President of the United States?
Yes    74.51 %
No    19.38 %
Undecided    6.90 %
Question #2
(Democrats) in your opinion, are police officers some of your favourite kind of people?
Yes    42.16 %
No    54.90 %
Undecided    2.94 %
Question #3
(Democrats) Do you agree or disagree with this following statement: No-one likes a cop until they are in trouble and need one?
Agree    86.27 %
Disagree    13.73 %
Question #4
(Republicans) Are you absolutely convinced that Republican Presidential candidate George W. Bush is the right person to be the next President of the United States?
Yes    90.20 %
No    9.80 %
Question #5
(Republicans) in your opinion, are police officers some of your favourite kind of people?
Yes    56.86 %
No    24.51 %
Undecided    18.63 %
Question #6
(Republicans) Do you agree or disagree with this following statement: No-one likes a cop until they are in trouble and need one?
Agree    92.19 %
Disagree    7.84 %
Commentary
This survey of U.S. ‘swing’ States ‘up for grabs’ in the upcoming U.S. Presidential election reveals a difficulty John Kerry is having securing support with Democratic male voters.
First, his support amongst ‘Democrats’ (from previous {and recent} ROBBINS surveys) is not as strong as President George W. Bush’s support is amongst male ‘Republicans’ (from those same surveys).
Secondly, there is a sense amongst male ‘Democrats’ that even if “they don’t like George W. Bush”, in a dangerous situation they would (albeit reluctantly) choose him over John Kerry. This ‘gut instinct’ amongst all respondents was underscored by one respondent (male-Democrat) who said “George W. Bush scares the shit out of me; I can’t imagine how the terrorists feel about seeing him around for another four years”.
Senator John Kerry’s cause is not being helped (in the context of male supporters) by the procession of Hollywood celebrities and Rock stars who support him. These artists might do better supporting Howard Dean when and if he runs again. It is more likely that ‘swing’ male voters in ‘swing’ U.S. States may hold their nose and vote for the ‘cop’ George W. Bush for President in November, 2004.

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