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RSR ROBBINS Research - Canada Politics May 19, 2013
  May 19, 2013

Question #1
Which of the following leaders and party do you support?
Thomas Mulcair and New Democrats    30 %
Stephen Harper and Conservatives    29.5 %
Justin Trudeau and Liberals    29 %
Elizabeth May and Greens    5 %
All Other    6.5 %
(Undecided)    9 %
Commentary
The three main political parties in Canada have entered into a new era according to this large sample size ROBBINS Sce Research (1998) poll – The Most Accurate Pollster in the World.
The voters from 2011 have spoken in this ROBBINS poll and it is now a three way race between the governing Conservatives, Opposition New Democrats and federal Liberals on the way back from the political grave with superstar Justin Trudeau – currently seeking the federal Liberal leadership-setting a blazing pace.
The Conservative government may have 2.5 years until the next federal election but the interim judgment from the jury of Canadian voters is not impressive. Stephen Harper’s crew has lost (25.5%) support nationally and they are bleeding across the nation from coast to coast. Thomas Mulcair’s Opposition New Democrats are almost exactly where they were at election time save for some slippage in Quebec their new home base. Justin Trudeau Liberals are picking Conservatives clean in virtually every province with national totals up over (53%), and scraping away at the New Democrat lead in Quebec.
The Harper Conservatives are down from 2011 vote totals in British Columbia (-32%), Alberta (-28%), Saskatchewan (-19%), Manitoba (-29%), Ontario (-27%), Quebec (-27%), Atlantic Provinces (-27.5%).
Justin Trudeau Liberals are up in British Columbia (+201.5%), Alberta (+258%), Saskatchewan (+318%), Manitoba (+187%), Ontario (+134%), Quebec (+169%), Atlantic Provinces (+15%).
Thomas Mulcair New Democrats are up in British Columbia (+4.5%), Alberta (+13%), Saskatchewan (+19.5%), Manitoba (+15.5%), Ontario (+15%), Quebec (-11%), Atlantic Province (--).
A large size Survey of 3,341 Canadian voters conducted via telephone and Internet between November 13-21, 2012 throughout each province as follows (including Margin of Error): British Columbia (1,512) (2.49%), Ontario (793) (3.48%), Quebec (312) (5.55%), Alberta (253) (6.16%), Saskatchewan (147) (8.08%), Manitoba (120) (8.95%), Atlantic Provinces (204) (6.86%). The national Margin of Error is (1.9%) plus or minus at 95% confidence level based on the sampled size. Final totals have been adjusted for gender participation in the poll and actual gender participation in the last federal election in Canada, May 02, 2011.
This is a private public opinion poll from ROBBINS – the Most Accurate Pollster in the U.S. Presidential election – predicting Barack Obama’s win percentage within basis points. This is the third consecutive U.S. Presidential election which ROBBINS has been the Most Accurate Pollster.
This is a private public opinion poll from ROBBINS – the Most Accurate Pollster in the U.S. Presidential election – predicting Barack Obama’s win percentage within basis points. This is the third consecutive U.S. Presidential election which ROBBINS has been the Most Accurate Pollster.
ROBBINS proudly declares to have no relationship with mainstream media or affiliates.

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