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RSR ROBBINS Research - British Columbia Politics March 21, 2012
  Mar 21, 2012

Question #1
Which of the following BC political parties do you support at this time?
BC New Democratic Party    44.5 %
BC Liberal Party    29 %
BC Conservative Party    19 %
BC Green Party    6.5 %
Other Party    1.5 %
Undecided/Can’t Answer/All Other    14 %
Question #2
In your opinion has the quality of the BC Liberal government improved since Christy Clark replaced Gordon Campbell as party leader?
Yes    6.5 %
No    92.5 %
Undecided/Can’t Answer/All Other    1 %
Question #3
If the quality of the BC Liberal government has NOT improved since Christy Clark replaced Gordon Campbell, has the quality of government? (To those who answered “No” in question 2)
Stayed about the same    36 %
Gotten worse    61 %
Undecided/Can’t Answer/All Other    10 %
Question #4
Do you SUPPORT or do you NOT SUPPORT the construction of an oil pipeline from Edmonton Alberta through the north of the Province of BC to the British Columbia coast for shipment of oil down the coastline of the province to the country of China?
SUPPORT    28 %
Do NOT SUPPORT    64 %
Undecided/Can’t Answer/All Other    9 %
Question #5
To become a BC Supreme Court Judge – a few ‘insiders’ and lawyers pick a short list of names of lawyers they believe would make a good Justice. Eventually Prime Minister Stephen Harper selects our BC Justices from this short list. Is this process democratic in your opinion?
Yes    8 %
No    84 %
Undecided/Can’t Answer/All Other    8 %
Question #6
In your opinion, should professional persons including: doctors, lawyers, teachers, elected officials, government workers and others known to have alcohol and or drug problems be permitted to remain ‘on the job’?
Yes    19 %
No    67 %
Undecided/Can’t Answer/All Other    14 %
Commentary
This significant ROBBINS New Trend poll of 3,311 British Columbians conducted throughout all regions of the province including: Vancouver Island (south, mid, and north); Greater Vancouver and the Lower Mainland of the province (Vancouver through to Hope BC); and North and Interior of the province (Kamloops, Okanagan, Prince George –Nelson and Castlegar) -- is clear evidence that the BC New Democratic Party will have a massive majority of seats in the Legislature of the Province by May 2013.
Save for drastic action on the part of the centre right parties including the BC Liberal government and BC Conservative Party who challenge them (for 2nd place) (and this Judgment is offered advisedly) – this 2013 provincial general election is unalterable by any conventional course of action, government policy or announcement.
Nowhere is the escalation of overwhelming BC New Democrat ‘Voter’ supremacy more obvious than on Vancouver Island home of just less than one if five British Columbia voters. On Vancouver Island the BC New Democrats attract (52.5%) support including: (53%) in the Greater Victoria region of Oak Bay, Victoria, Esquimalt, Langford, Saanich, Sidney, Brentwood and other. The BC Liberals attract (20%), while BC Conservatives attract (17%) and BC Greens (10%) (All decided numbers).
In the mid Vancouver Island region including Duncan, Chemainus, fabulous Nanaimo and Parksville Qualicum BC, the BC New Democrats attract (48%), BC Liberals (22%), BC Conservatives (22%) and BC Greens (8%) support. Finally in the Comox Valley featuring Comox and Courtney and Campbell River the BC NDP attract (51%) support, while BC Liberals attract (26%), BC Conservatives (18%), and BC Greens (5%). (All decided numbers).
In the populous lower mainland of British Columbia where well over 50% of the population resides, Greater Vancouver also features amazing BC New Democrat dominance – (come on down U.S. President Barack Obama!). In the City of Vancouver-site of the 2010 Winter Olympics (45.5%) of voters support the BC New Democrats, while (33%) support the BC Liberals, (13%) support the BC Conservatives and (11%) support the BC Greens. (All decided numbers).
In Richmond British Columbia near Vancouver International Airport the BC Liberals hold (37%), with the BC New Democrats close at (34%), BC Conservatives (23%), and BC Greens at (6%). In North Vancouver and the outstanding North Shore, the BC New Democrats hold (41%) support, BC Liberals (33%), BC Conservatives (22%) and BC Greens (4%). (All decided numbers).
In Burnaby – BC’s ‘City of Parks’ the BC New Democrats have overwhelming support with (50%) of the population supporting that party. The BC Liberals have (26%) and the BC Conservatives have (17%) and BC Greens (7%) support. (All decided numbers).
In the Eastern Suburbs of the Tri-City region (Port Moody, Coquitlam, Port Coquitlam, Pitt Meadows and Maple Ridge, the BC New Democrats attract a substantial (49%) of the ‘voter pie’, the BC Liberals (25%), BC Conservatives (23%) and BC Greens (7%). (All decided numbers).
As we cross the Port Mann Bridge to the City of Surrey home to growing International business and popular Mayor Dianne 'The Body' Watts we see the BC New Democrat political juggernaut continues - through one of Canada’s largest civic areas (and close to the U.S. border – including one of British Columbia’s most sought locations - the city of White Rock) – the BC New Democrats attract (49%) support, the BC Liberals (28%), BC Conservatives (19%) and BC Greens (4%). (All decided numbers).
From Surrey we head to the Great Fraser Valley region of the province – first up is Langley and Langley Township --. The BC Liberals continue to lead with voters (but just barely) with (35%) support, followed by the BC New Democrats with (34%), BC Conservatives (25%) and BC Greens (6%). (All decided numbers).
In Mission Abbotsford the BC New Democrats have replaced the BC Liberals as the most popular choice with BC Voters. The BC NDP attracts (37%), BC Liberals (34%), BC Conservatives (20%) and BC Greens (9%) support. In Chilliwack city and Hope at the foot of the Coquihalla Highway to the BC Interior the BC New Democrats hold (34%), the BC Liberals (32%), BC Conservatives (32%) and BC Greens (4%). (All decided numbers).
Up to the Interior of the Province – with rainforest and desert – The Kamloops (City of Sports), Kelowna, Princeton Penticton, Salmon Arm and Revelstoke region of the North and Interior of BC the New Democrats lead with (38%) ‘Voter Support’, followed by the BC Liberals (36%), BC Conservatives (24%) and BC Greens (5%). (All decided numbers).
In the Prince George, McKenzie, Terrace and Prince Rupert in the beautiful northern region of our province – the original promise land of our greatest leader and provincial nationalist - WAC Bennett – the BC New Democrats lead with (44%), BC Liberals (33%), BC Conservatives (18%) and BC Greens (5%). (All decided numbers). In the south eastern region of British Columbia – the BC New Democrats dominate with ‘Voters’ as well. BC New Democrats attract (45%) of ‘Voter’ support, BC Liberals (25%), BC Conservatives (18%) and BC Greens (11%).
On Vancouver Island less than one per cent (<1%), of ‘Voters’ are of the opinion that the “quality of the BC Liberal government has (sic) improved since Christy Clark replaced Gordon Campbell as party leader”. In the most populous lower mainland of the Province featuring Greater Vancouver this number remains low at (6%) and is not impressive in the North and Interior at (4%) with this region featuring the highest Undecided (5%).
Vancouver Island sees three of four ‘Voters’ believing that the quality of BC Liberal Government is “Worse’ under BC Liberal leader Christy Clark, over (60%) considering government “Worse” under Premier Clark, and one in two ‘Voters’ in this region being of the opinion that the BC Liberal Government is “Worse” since Ms. Clark took over from Gordon Campbell about one year ago.
Only (19%) of Vancouver Island ‘Voters” support “the construction of an oil pipeline from Edmonton Alberta - through the north of the Province of BC - to the British Columbia coast - for shipment of oil down the coastline of the province to the country of China”. (30%) of ‘Voters’ residing in the lower mainland support this enterprise while (34%) support it in the North and Interior.
It is not outside the realm of possibility based on this MEGA ROBBINS NewTrend poll that the BC New Democrats win virtually every seat in the Legislature in May 2013. The BC New Democrats have long been more popular on Vancouver Island, now with the rise of the BC Conservatives – they completely and unequivocally dominate the region.
The BC New Democrats now also dominate the most populous region of the Province of British Columbia - the lower mainland and Greater Vancouver region of the province. Because of the rise of the BC Conservatives, the BC New Democrats are ‘in charge’ in Vancouver City, Burnaby City and the Eastern Suburbs, but they are also dominating Surrey, winning in North Vancouver and challenging in areas like Richmond where BC Liberals used to dominate. In Langley and the Fraser Valley of the province, regions where BC Liberals have historically crushed the BC New Democrats – the rise of the BC Conservatives has made that region a three way race – giving the BC New Democrats a chance to every one of these seats as well.
The BC New Democrats have their ‘foot in the door’ in the Okanagan and Kamloops region of the North and Interior – and once again, the rise of the BC Conservatives makes the party competitive in a region where they haven’t challenged for a long time.
In Prince George where two senior BC Liberal Cabinet Ministers are located, the BC New Democrats are realizing support of ‘Voters’ as they did in the 1990’s and look good to sweep these. The south east region of the province has seen New Democrat support for years – and is on the rise.
In our ROBBINS NewTrend poll question of early February 2012 our question on leaders and parties provided this outcome on leader and party support:
“British Columbia will hold 2 by-elections in the lower mainland in the coming weeks. A provincial election is expected in little more than a year. We are hoping to take the temperature of the public with regard to political party popularity at this time. If an election were held today which political leader and party would you support or are you leaning toward supporting?” (Leaders and parties portrayed as percentage to 100%)
Adrian Dix and BC New Democrats-(380) 45 % John Cummins and BC Conservatives-(211)25 % Christy Clark and BC Liberals-(184)22 % Jane Sterk and BC Greens-(58)7 % Undecided-(198)19 %
In this poll of early February 2012 Adrian Dix and BC New Democrats achieved 45% support. In this MEGA ROBBINS poll the BC New Democrats achieve (44.5%). John Cummins and BC Conservatives scored 25% support in the first poll and the BC Conservatives score (19%) in this MEGA ROBBINS poll, while Christy Clark and BC Liberals achieve 22% in the original February 2012 poll and the BC Liberals on their own achieve (29%) in this MEGA ROBBINS poll.
This MEGA ROBBINS NewTrend poll reveals that British Columbians believe that Christy Clark has been a failure as leader for the BC Liberals. She took the job from Gordon Campbell, a premier in severe disgrace for his deep (and historical) dishonesty and disgraceful lack of personal integrity and values – but has added no leadership value since doing so – and according to BC ‘’Voters’ in this MEGA ROBBINS NewTrend poll she has made an impossibly poor situation - much worse.
It has now become political fashion – NewTrend - in the province of British Columbia to measure your political affiliation by quantification of how much you dislike Christy Clark.
British Columbians assert that Ms. Clark ‘never appears to be in charge’, ‘doesn’t seem to know what she is doing’ is ‘unclear about her positions’. ‘I don’t trust her’, ‘don’t like her’, ‘she’s just doing Campbell’s bidding’, ‘she’s not in charge’, ‘she’s over her head’, ‘what’s wrong with this woman’, ‘what a mistake -Clark was’ – and has according to this MEGA ROBBINS poll – decreased and severely diminished the credibility of the Office of Premier of British Columbia to an equal or greater degree than Gordon Campbell did (which took some doing).
It isn’t a question of whether support for the BC Liberals will decrease under Christy Clark – but when – and by how much. The BC Liberal Government of over 10 years is on the way down in public support and destined to be out of government if they do not take severe 911 action(s) immediately. With Christy Clark as the leader - it is similar to a sick injured person trying to get about with the additional burden of 100 lb stone tied around their neck.
What should seem apparent, is that the BC Liberals have to do what would have been unthinkable just months ago. They must immediately dump Christy Clark and replace her with either Kevin Falcon, George Abbott or some other leader. Both Falcon and Abbott were featured prominently in the news during this polling period – Mr. Falcon as his activity related to the budget, and Mr. Abbott as this related to the BC Teachers ‘negotiations’.
It is not likely that the party will survive if they do not take this action. Christy Clark has distracted the BC Public for a year – (her job as it were). The Party had to have known her limited 'skill set' sufficiently in advance - to have seriously contemplated a Plan B – well the time is here for that second plan. Mr. Falcon sits in better position than Mr. Abbott on this basis – Mr. Falcon is the finance minister and his efforts over this polling period concerned the budget – a financial document – Mr. Abbott is confronting a BC Teachers’ strike, obviously a calculated political move – by the Teachers’ -knowing that a weak government with a weak leader – supported by the truth of these polling numbers is NOT in good position to use blunt ‘back to work’ legislation –. Mr. Abbott’s efforts on the file have been somewhat pitiful in terms of fair negotiation – only the Teacher’s initial demands – which resonated residually with some British Columbians – gave Mr. Abbott a ray of hope on the matter. However, ‘Voters’ are less against the BC Liberals in the north and interior particularly in the Okanagan – and are less against the Enbridge deal – so if George Abbott can get a deal completed with BC Teachers and not legislate them back to work – he may stand in good stead to lead an Opposition party against Adrian Dix, otherwise if nothing changes – that could well become John Cummins role
The BC Liberals narrowly won the 2005 provincial general election on a BC Teachers faux pas strike chatter - and the mainstream media led rumours of that potential strike to come – these current efforts by the Teachers are destined to ensure that this mistake does not occur again in 2013.
The difficulty for the BC Liberals realizing on even the big change plan BC is this: nearly (18%) of those respondents who support the BC Liberal party in question 1, also believe Christy Clark has “improved the quality of the BC Liberal government”. (27%) of BC Liberal supporters believe that the quality of the BC Liberal government has gotten worse under Christy Clark, while (86%) of BC Conservatives supporters believe the quality of the BC Liberal government has gotten worse under Christy Clark. (72%) of BC New Democrats believe the BC Liberal government has gotten worse under Christy Clark, while (55%) of BC Greens are of that opinion. (64%) of Undecided from question 1 believe that the quality of the BC Liberal government has gotten worse under Christy Clark - (78%) of Undecided from question 1 in the lower mainland being of this opinion.
The Enbridge pipeline is a loser for the federal and provincial Conservatives, BC Liberals and Big Oil—and a problem for the Toronto and Calgary led BC mainstream media – which cannot afford to lose any more credibility after years of the Asper family degenerative efforts at 'news production' – and the overarching control of national advertising tied to national public relations – making democracy in this country – slightly less credible than that attained at the Catholic church down the street.
British Columbians don’t want the pipeline – not just because they ‘dislike and distrust oil companies’, not just because they ‘fear environmental damage from the pipeline’, not just because they fear ‘massive oil leaks from tanks navigating in narrow channels between the coast line and numerous islands nearby’, not just because they are ‘not comfortable with the honesty and integrity of the decision making process related to the project’, – not just because there are ‘no tangible offers to benefit the province on the table’, – but for other reasons – ones the news doesn’t want to talk about – including the fact that many British Columbians ‘don’t want to sell our oil to China’ – a country perceived by some as being ‘taker’s of Canada’s resources and not in sync with our ‘values’. Only (20%) of BC ‘Voters’ from Vancouver Island support the Enbridge pipeline proposal, with (29%) support from Greater Vancouver and the Lower Mainland and (34%) of ‘Voters’ in the North and Interior support the proposal.
Ironically Enbridge’s fate may ultimately be predicated on the political factor – Prime Minister Stephen Harper and his apparent fervent desire to push Alberta’s oil through British Columbia and down the provincial coastline to China – which may add to BC ‘Voters’ desire to keep the Enbridge pipeline away – by the only method they have any control over -- abandoning Harper’s Conservatives, Christy Clark’s BC Liberals and voting in Adrian Dix and BC New Democrats to a super majority to compare with Gordon Campbell’s of 2001 – when the ‘Voters’ had become ‘sick’ of the then BC New Democrats. The BC New Democratic Party is going to have to sit down (after they squeal with delight with these numbers) – and understand that the manner in which the public engages the political process is changing, the manner in which information is changing – and that a more natural and earnest manner and level of leadership and not the old fashioned insider propaganda and mainstream news public relations will have to be abandoned in order to have real success – as Bob Dylan says – ‘the times they are a-changing’.
For the first time in our provincial history the role of the courts in our democracy has come into question. There is a real lack of confidence in the impartiality and credibility of the courts, particularly the BC Supreme Court Justices. This sentiment is a product of longstanding support over successive independent polling by ROBBINS where the People demand the transparent election of BC Supreme Court Justices and other Judges supported most recently by the ugly BC Rail debacle which gave the appearance to many British Columbians that the BC courts were 'cooperating' with the people in power in government. Recent exposes by -Worldwide Barrister Glen P. Robbins- regarding the ugly connection in the Law Society of BC in particular political appointments and special legislation with government friends to the BC Law Society Benchers – affirming the growing suspicions and the commensurate confidence of citizens in their individual right TO HAVE such suspicions – that in British Columbia the courts are open for business and (only) the highest dollar or political favour buys justice in the province.
One 80 year old male respondent in Port Moody, British Columbia told us that he attended the BC Rail trial – and was there on the final day when the suspicious deal with Basi - Virk was concluded. He said ‘all of sudden there was a deal’ – but what surprised me was that the Judge had "an entire speech ready" – "the deal looked spontaneous but the Judge appeared to have known in advance – I don’t trust any of them anymore".
To a growing legion of British Columbians what transpired between the Raid on the Provincial Legislature nearly a decade ago and the final outcome at the BC Supreme court stands as testament to the belief that collusion and corruption not only exists in both primary components of the democracy – but that it may be consciously organized as well. Compelling BC Supreme Court Justices to election will provide an opportunity for the People to see who these people are, what they stand for, and to investigate their past dealings not only as lawyers but as citizens beyond the pat servitude provided by the mainstream press – . This assertion is not watered down by the realization that each successive BC Supreme Court Chief Justice sits as Vice Chair of a major charity whose primary business is investment – while at the same time the Government Investment Arm (for employees, elected official pensions and other) has links to big oil, energy and finance. A real strange brew for those anticipating any degree of democratic accountability.
An overwhelming majority of British Columbians are solid in their opinion that professional people particularly those ‘paid by tax payers’ should not remain on the job if they have an alcohol or drug problem. Advocate for democratic change Jim Van Rassel wants all persons handling the people’s money to be tested for drug and alcohol use – regularly with the results made public. The opportunity for corruption, theft, and bribery easily exists in the relationship between lobbyists – their clients and elected persons as well as the legion of anonymous bureaucrats who could easily be receiving kickbacks and other benefits. Indeed, the Investment organization for the provincial government employees has inextricably ‘captive’ ties to business sufficient to cause alarm in any reasonable person.
The Van Rassel doctrine would include all elected officials, bureaucrats, and other professionals including doctors, lawyers, teachers and others. Approximately 7-15% of elected officials and professionals are currently working while suffering from some form of alcohol or drug addiction. People with drug and alcohol addictions who may appear functional – are in fact not – and the efficiencies and welfare of a fair and honest system both in the Government and in the Courts as well in other professions can only be ensured if the public has the ability to realize on the condition of the actors in the system who are making the decisions and handling money which is not theirs.
A major MEGA ROBBINS NewTrend poll of 3,311 BC ‘Voters’ from ‘lists’ of 2009 voters in the provincial general election conducted February 19 to February 28, 2012. Respondents were contacted and responses received from Vancouver Island, Greater Vancouver and the Lower Mainland of British Columbia, as well as the North and Interior of the Province. Interviews were conducted in waves over the 9 day period – where Vancouver Island – Greater Vancouver and the Lower Mainland – and the North and Interior interview were made over the same period of time for 3 days, with the similar format employed in successive 3 day segments. The Margin of Error of this MEGA ROBBINS NewTrend poll is 1.7%, 19 times out of 20 @ 95% confidence.
As this is private polling information no other information is provided.

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