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RSR ROBBINS Research - Canada Politics August 12, 2011
  Aug 12, 2011

Question #1
In the event that the Referendum vote - to keep the HST - is not successful, which of the following response choices BEST reflects your opinion of what should happen next?
The BC Government should get rid of the HST immediately    55 %
The BC Government should make necessary arrangements to transition back to the PST/GST as quickly as possible    29 %
The BC Government should keep the HST - no matter    17 %
Undecided/Can't Answer    11 %
Question #2
The BC Liberal government and Federal Conservative government both arranged the HST deal without any Notice to the people of British Columbia, including providing 1.6 billion dollars in transition monies. If the HST does not succeed what should be done about the 1.6 billion dollars?
The BC Government should not pay any of the money back    37 %
The BC Government should pay all of the money back    29 %
The BC Government should pay part of the money back    34 %
Undecided/Can't Answer    8 %
Question #3
On the assumption that the HST were to fail - ultimately who would you blame for the time and the problems caused by the HST debate - if any?
No-one    19 %
The BC Liberal government    42 %
The Conservative federal government    22 %
Both BC Liberal and Conservative governments    16 %
Undecided/Can't Answer    12 %
Question #4
The Conservative federal government is going to announce $30 billion in shipbuilding contracts to 3 private corporations from 3 provinces including B.C. bidding for them. If B.C. were to receive $10 billion of the $30 billion to its private corporation bidding would you support paying back all of the 1.6 billion dollars relating to the HST?
Yes    38 %
No    62 %
Commentary
If the HST loses the Referendum result at month's end - Question 1 reveals that a clear majority of British Columbians want to get rid of it "immediately". One quarter to one third provide the government a little more latitude in for time to make "necessary arrangments". Almost one is six respondents want to keep the HST - "no matter" the HST side losing.
In Question 2 another clear majority of British Columbians DO NOT want to pay back the federal government the entire $1.6 billion in transition costs. More than one third don't want to pay any money back, while just less than one third believe we should pay it all back - and another third believe we should cut a deal to pay back less - given the federal government's role in the duplicity of bringing in the controversial tax in the first place.
Question 3 reveals that - even if the HST Referendum outcome is close - on a decided basis - 81% blame either the provincial or federal government to one degree or another. This massive support against the conduct of both current provincial and federal governments underscores the continued negative sentiment against the HST - whether or not the final outcome of the vote is close.
Question #4 reveals British Columbians willingness to 'horsetrade' over the $1.6 billion HST - contracted for repayment should the Referendum not hold up. Approximately 40% more respondents will support paying the entire amount back (26-38%) if BC's private corporation recieves one third of the entire shipbuilding contracts - notwithstanding the actual criteria for providing them.
Methodology - A random sample of 814 British Columbians on matters relating to the upcoming HST Referendum outcome - assuming primarily that the HST does not succeed - and to matters pertaining to the $1.6 billion dollars received by government - who is to blame for the HST - and British Columbians willingness to negotiate over unrelated business that benefits a BC corporation and the economy. This poll of 814 British Columbians between August 5-10, 2011 features a Margin of Error of 3.43%, 19 times out of 20 @ 95% confidence.

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