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RSR ROBBINS Research - Canada Politics April 28, 2011
  Apr 28, 2011

Question #1
If it were up to you-- from the limited response choices of either Jack Layton, leader of the New Democratic Party OR Stephen Harper leader of the Conservative Party-- who would you prefer to be your next Prime Minister of Canada after the election on May 2, 2011?
Jack Layton    39.5 %
Stephen Harper    33.5 %
Question #2
Jack Layton proposes placing a cap on charge card rates to 5% above the prime rate which is currently 3%, which would-- under Mr. Layton’s proposal-- make the highest credit card rate 8%. Do you support Jack Layton’s plan?
Yes    63 %
No    35 %
Question #3
Are you “strongly interested” in the Royal Wedding in England the last week of April 2011?
Yes    33 %
No    65 %
Commentary
More Canadians in this ROBBINS poll would like to see Jack Layton become Prime Minister of Canada than Stephen Harper based on overall population by province. These results follow a sharp increase in support for Jack Layton’s New Democrats Party.
Prime Minister Stephen Harper’s popularity has obviously dropped over the past few years, and more sharply during this 41st Canadian general election especially when compared to Jack Layton.
Jack Layton 4 Prime Minister of Canada achieves its highest support in Quebec (52%), and lowest support in Prince Edward Island (19%). In contrast Stephen Harper garners highest support for Prime Minister from Alberta (45%), and lowest from Quebec (13%).
Based on median assessment of outcomes per province Jack Layton’s totals are (41.5%), while Stephen Harper’s are (35%).
Average age of support for Jack Layton for Prime Minister is (43), while average age of Stephen Harper for Prime Minister is (50).
Jack Layton 4 Prime Minister support: British Columbia (48%), Alberta (33%), Saskatchewan (40%), Manitoba (43%), Ontario (28%), Quebec (52%), New Brunswick (44%), Nova Scotia (44%), Prince Edward Island (19%), Newfoundland and Labrador (36%).
Stephen Harper 4 Prime Minister support: British Columbia (35%), Alberta (45%), Saskatchewan (36%), Manitoba (30%), Ontario (41%), Quebec (13%), New Brunswick (36%), Nova Scotia (27%), Prince Edward Island (40%), Newfoundland and Labrador (24%).
Highest support for Jack Layton’s interest rate ’cap’ on charge card proposal is Quebec (78%), and lowest is Alberta (57%), followed by Ontario with (58%) for this proposal. (63%-average) of respondents in Saskatchewan and Manitoba support Jack Layton’s interest rate plan, while (66%) in the Atlantic Provinces support this proposal. Average age of respondents supporting a cap on interest rates is 49 years of age.
Most “strong” interest in the Royal Wedding is derived from Ontario (43%), while least is derived from Quebec (17%). (37%) of British Columbians are strongly interested in the Royal Wedding. Nova Scotia is interested in the Royal Wedding (45%), while Newfoundland and Labrador are less so (24%). Average age interested in Royal Wedding is 49.
Methodology -1,051 respondents – By way of telephone sampling (including lists) throughout Canada April 24-27, 2011. Adjustments were made for actual population size from provinces relative to corresponding sample amounts. Sample percentages for question 2 ‘Jack Layton’s interest rate proposal’ from British Columbia derived from poll conducted prior to this poll - these numbers (respondents) are not included in the 1,051 total but are utilized in final amounts in this poll. Based on the 1,051 sample amount (exclusive of British Columbia). MOE (3.12%) plus or minus, 19 times out of 20 @ 95% confidence.

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