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RSR ROBBINS Research - British Columbia Politics November 18, 2011
  Nov 18, 2011

A Glen P. Robbins survey of 254 respondents in the City of Coquitlam December 1st and 2nd, 2010. The Margin of Error is 6.13%, 19 times out of 20 @ 95% confidence. (i.e. *Coquitlam “Good” support could be as high as (40%) and as low as (28%). Richard Stewart “Good” could be as high as (37%) and as low as (24%). Richard Stewart for mayor could be as high as (39%) and as low as (26%). Support for Recall of BC Liberal MLA’s could be as high as (84%) or as low as (72%). Carole James and BC NDP could be as high as (41%) or as low as (29%). Christy Clark and BC Liberal could be as high as (30%) and as low as (28%)). (*numbers includes Undecided

Question #1
From the following response choices offered how do you rate Coquitlam city hall’s performance?
Good    34 %
Fair    56 %
Poor    10 %
Question #2
From the following response choices offered how do you rate mayor Richard Stewart’s performance?
Good    31 %
Fair    49 %
Poor    20 %
Question #3
In a civic election for mayor of Coquitlam -- if it were held today -- from the following response choices-- who do you prefer?
Mayor Richard Stewart    33 %
Councilman Barry Lynch    31 %
Undecided/Can’t Answer    36 %
Question #4
Do you support Recall of BC Liberal MLA’s over the HST?
Yes    78 %
No    13 %
Undecided/Can't Answer    9 %
Question #5
From the following response choices who best reflects which leader and party you would be most likely to support in a general provincial election?
Carole James and BC NDP    35 %
Christy Clark and BC Liberals    24 %
Undecided/Can't Answer    41 %
Commentary
Slightly more than one third of respondents in the City of Coquitlam rate city hall’s performance as good. This same percentage are also of the opinion that mayor Richard Stewart’s performance is good and who prefer Richard Stewart for Coquitlam mayor over councilman Barry Lynch.
(86%) of Coquitlam residents who have made up their mind support Recall of BC Liberal MLA’s over the HST. An overwhelming majority of the respondents who support Carole James and BC NDP or select Undecided/Can’t Answer support Recall of BC Liberal MLA’s.
Richard Stewart has some problems - slightly less than one year from the next municipal election only one in three are of the opinion that his performance is Good while approximately two thirds of those respondents who say that Coquitlam city hall’s performance is “Good” also say Richard Stewart’s performance is “Good”. In contrast, councilman Barry Lynch draws most of his preference from those respondents who perceive Coquitlam city hall’s performance as “Fair” with the balance from “Good” or “Poor” suggesting he may have more room to grow if he seeks the job of mayor.
Many of the respondents who say “No” to Recalling BC Liberal MLA’s -- see Richard Stewart’s performance as “Poor”. In addition, a few respondents who described Richard Stewart’s performance as “Good” picked councilman Barry Lynch as their preference for mayor.
Carole James and BC NDP and Christy Clark combined support is less than the support for the two elected officials from Coquitlam and only three-quarters of the percentage of respondents supporting Recall. Some of the respondents who support Christy Clark see Richard Stewart’s performance as poor.
Coquitlam residents are not head over heals with the performance of their government, yet the decided “Good” respondents far exceed the “Poor” respondents on this account. Richard Stewarts’ performance rating draws double the “Poor” selection as Coquitlam city hall does. Councilman Barry Lynch - who has not recently professed a desire to run for mayor - definitely has his options open in this regard.
Carole James and BC NDP support is approximately (75%) of typical voting support from Coquitlam in provincial elections - while potential BC Liberal candidate Christy Clark, formerly from the Coquitlam region (Port Moody) reflects relatively weak support.
Is it possible that British Columbians - if Coquitlam is any evidence of this --may not want a woman Premier after all?

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