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RSR ROBBINS Research - Canada Politics September 26, 2010
  Sep 26, 2010

The Province of British Columbia has a very serious credibility problem with the owners (voters) and is in a state of a serious crisis of legitimacy in our opinion.
A random telephone sampling of 1,085 (Q#1); 1,023 (Q#2-3); respondents residing in the lower mainland of British Columbia including West Vancouver, North Vancouver, Vancouver city, Richmond, Delta, Burnaby, Surrey, Coquitlam, Port Moody, Port Coquitlam, Mission, Maple Ridge, Pitt Meadows, Langley, Langley Township, Abbotsford, Aldergrove, and Chilliwack. Margin of error (2.76-3.13%) 19 times out of 20 @95% confidence.

Question #1
Do you support the Recall of BC Liberal MLA’s relating to the HST, beginning in the New Year? (raw numbers-adjusted for gender)(1,085 respondents)
Yes    63 %
No    13 %
Undecided    9 %
No Opinion    14 %
Question #2
Do you support the HST? (from “No”, “Undecided”, “No Opinion” in Question #1) (1,023 respondents).
Yes    6 %
No    38 %
Undecided    42 %
No Opinion    14 %
Question #3
Does the prospect of BC New Democrat leader Carole James becoming premier of British Columbia please you? (1,023 respondents)
Yes    29 %
No    48 %
Undecided/All Other    22 %
Commentary
Background:
Respondents (net of “No opinion” common to Q#1 and Q#2) is 95% (adjusted) = Raw Numbers.
Total (adjusted) Raw Numbers in support (“Yes”) of “Recall of BC Liberal MLA’s relating to the HST, beginning in the New Year” is (66%). Total numbers who say “No” (adjusted) is (14%).
Net support for HST from this poll is (5%) (based on “Yes” in Q#1 equal to “No” to HST). Decided support for Recall from Q#1 (adjusted for common “No Opinion”) is (82.5%).
Call backs-(62) of which (88%) decided support Recall - no other questions followed.
Carole James has (37%) support of decided respondents, but this is predicated on very high Undecided’s, (29%) higher than Undecided’s from Q1 and Q2 (adjusted).
Support for HST from net numbers and decided respondents predicated on the assumption that “Yes” to Recall from Q#1 is No to HST is (5%). Margin of error could make the range of support for HST among respondents residing in the lower mainland under this condition (2-8%), those against under these conditions (92-98%).
Support for Recall of BC Liberal MLA’s is overwhelming at over (80%) decided, however several of the “No” respondents from Q#1 indicated (anecdotal) that they wanted Recall to happen “sooner than later” or “as soon as possible” and also indicated they did not support HST in Q#2 where minority of respondents were challenged on support of HST.
There were significant anecdotal comments to Recall (primarily) Gordon Campbell.
It’s now clearly apparent that the premier is not interested in what the public wants and governs for a small cartel of interests exclusively, and the public knows this and wants immediate relief.
Support for Carole James, leader of the BC New Democrats seems to be on the decline. The political advice she is receiving couldn’t be worse, including suggesting that leadership is more important than direct democracy, at a time when the most recent fixed election was subverted by duplicity, denigrating the value of the voting franchise, and tools of direct democracy in hand appear virtually worthless.
Moreover James the Opposition leader has chosen to speak to business groups - rather than the people. I predict that as long as Gordon Campbell is premier, her numbers will continue to decline, probably not what she and her advisors predicted. This is based on the perception that she is unable through elections, or any other means, of her own capacity as Leader of the Opposition to rid the province of his presense, which is what the vast majority of the people want.

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