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RSR ROBBINS Research - Canada Politics May 22, 2004
  May 22, 2004

A random telephone survey of 1,650 respondents throughout British Columbia, Alberta, Manitoba, Saskatchewan, and Ontario between May 14, and May 21, 2004. All respondents answered "yes" to the question-"did you vote in the last federal general election in 2000?" Adjustments were made to the final numbers based on population and relative actual voting patterns based on the last federal election in 2000. This survey has a margin of error of 3.25%, 18 times out of 20, @97% competency.

Question #1
Of the following leaders and their political parties, which in your opinion would be most likely to have 'best relations' with U.S. Presidential candidate (Democrat) John Kerry?
Paul Martin and federal Liberal party    44.1 %
Jack Layton and NDP    25.6 %
Stephen Harper and Conservative Party    26.6 %
Other/Undecided    3.0 %
Question #2
Of the following leaders and their political parties, which in your opinion would be most likely to have 'best relations' with U.S. President George W. Bush?
Jack Layton and NDP    20.5 %
Stephen Harper and Conservative Party    52 %
Paul Martin and federal Liberal party    25.8 %
Question #3
Prime Minister Paul Martin owns companies that over many years have conducted business with France and French arm's dealers, with possible historical connections to deposed dictator Saddam Hussein. France and the United States have strained relations at the moment. If Paul Martin is elected PM, and current U.S. President George W. Bush is re-elected, could this have a negative affect on Canada-U.S. relations?
Yes    67.1 %
No    31.3 %
Undecided    1.8 %
Question #4
When a federal general election is called for some time in June 2004, which of the following leaders and their respective parties are you most likely to vote for, considering what you now know?
Paul Martin and federal Liberal party    34 %
Stephen Harper and Conservative Party    41 %
Jack Layton and NDP    23 %
Other/Undecided    1.7 %
Commentary
Within the context of this poll, U.S-Canada relations, it is clear that respondents are of the opinion that Conservative Party Leader Stephen Harper would get along better with U.S. President George W. Bush. This poll reveals that federal liberal supporters are anticipating a change in the White House.
Canadians throughout the provinces canvassed in this poll, are very aware of the difficult relations over the past few years between the Canadian and U.S. governments. Iraq, Mad Cow disease, and difficulty with lumber sales on Canada's export side in the U.S., have strained relations badly.
This poll also reveals that Canadian Conservatives would like to see George W. Bush re-elected and for the most part federal liberals and federal New Democrats would not.

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