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ZEUS poll--HST, Referendum/Recall, 2010 Olympics, Campbell, Huntington, Vander Zalm, James
Only you know and I know--Delaney and Friends  Aug 25, 2009

A Strategic Calling Environment of 1,044 British Columbians who 'Voted' in the last provincial election-- conducted between August 14 and August 22, 2009. This poll has a scientific MOE of (3.0%) 19 times out of 20. ROBBINS estimates the MOE including 'science calculation' (a function of sample size only) and ROBBINS averaging of (1.75%) (double averaging calculated through all regions and outcomes) 19 times out of 20.

Question #1
Which of the following B.C. provincial ‘leaders’ and the political parties linked to them in this question-- do you currently support?
Premier Gordon Campbell and B.C. Liberal Party    32.50 %
Opposition Leader Carole James and B.C. New Democratic Party    42.00 %
Jane Sterk and B.C. Green Party    05.50 %
Independent MLA Vicki Huntington and B.C. Conservative Party    18.00 %
Question #2
The BC Liberal government says that the “HST was not on their radar prior to the most recent provincial general election in May of 2009?” How likely is it that this statement is true? (Rounded to nearest one half fraction or natural number-both response options rotated).
Likely    24.00 %
Not Likely    58.50 %
Question #3
In your opinion should a Citizen Initiative be launched seeking a province wide referendum on the H.S.T.? (Rounded to nearest one half fraction or natural number)
Yes    54.50 %
No    34.00 %
Question #4
In your opinion -is there- OR -is there not- a connection between higher than previously announced budget deficits, budget cuts to health care and other programs and ministries, the recent surprise announcement of the H.S.T. AND the cost of the 2010 Vancouver-Whistler Olympic Games?
There is a connection    64.50 %
There is not a connection    23.50 %
Question #5
Former Social Credit Premier Bill Vander Zalm believes that Premier Gordon Campbell and the B.C. Liberals have lied and deceived British Columbians over the H.S.T. In your opinion is this a fair comment?
Yes    62.00 %
No    28.50 %
Question #6
Which of the following B.C. provincial ‘leaders’ and the political parties linked to them in this question do you currently support? (Richmond-South Delta-North Delta ridings adjusted for voter turnout in May 2009 provincial election).
Premier Gordon Campbell and B.C. Liberal Party    38.00 %
Opposition leader Carole James and the B.C. New Democratic Party    29.00 %
Jane Sterk and B.C. Green Party    03.50 %
Independent MLA Vicki Huntington and B.C. Conservative Party    29.50 %
Question #7
The BC Liberal government says that the “HST was not on their radar prior to the most recent provincial general election in May of 2009?” How likely is it that this statement is true? (Richmond-South Delta-North Delta ridings adjusted for voter turnout).
Likely    32.50 %
Not Likely    59.00 %
Question #8
In your opinion should a Citizen Initiative be launched seeking a province wide referendum on the H.S.T.? (Richmond-South Delta-North Delta ridings adjusted for voter turnout)
Yes    57.50 %
No    37.50 %
Question #9
In your opinion -is there- OR -is there not- a connection between higher than previously announced budget deficits, budget cuts to health care and other programs and ministries, the recent surprise announcement of the H.S.T. AND the cost of the 2010 Vancouver-Whistler Olympic Games?
There is a connection    64.00 %
There is not a connection    31.50 %
Question #10
Former Social Credit Premier Bill Vander Zalm believes that Premier Gordon Campbell and the B.C. Liberals have lied and deceived British Columbians over the H.S.T. In your opinion is this a fair comment?
Yes    64.00 %
No    33.00 %
Commentary
Gordon Campbell and B.C. Liberal Party are down (29%) from May election totals, while Carole James and B.C. NDP numbers remain EVEN over the same period of time.
Independent MLA Vicki Huntington and B.C. Conservatives rocket to 10 times the total achieved by B.C. Conservatives in the most recent provincial election where B.C. Conservatives ran candidates in only 1 out of 4 ridings. (Who was in on this foolish decision—if you have the wherewithal to run candidates in 2 Vancouver by-elections—over one half year prior to a general election—you have enough time to secure more candidates-don’t you think?)
(71%) of Decided ‘Voters’ say it is “Not Likely” that the HST was not on the BC Liberal government’s radar “prior to the most recent provincial general election in May of 2009.”
(61.5%) of Decided ‘Voters’ are of the opinion that a Citizen Initiative should be launched “seeking a province wide referendum on the H.S.T.”
(73.5%) of Decided ‘Voters’ say “There IS a connection”, between “Higher than previously announced budget deficits, budget cuts to health care and other programs and ministries, the recent surprise announcement of the H.S.T. AND the cost of the 2010 Vancouver-Whistler Olympic Games?”
(67%) of Decided ‘Voters’ answer “Yes” to former premier Bill Vander Zalm’s assertion that Gordon Campbell and the B.C. Liberals “Lied and deceived British Columbians over the H.S.T.”
(1.5%) of TOTAL respondents answered “Likely” in (Q#2) AND “Yes” in (Q#3). (88%) of Gordon Campbell and B.C. Liberal support in (Q#1) answer “Likely” in (Q#2).
(21%) of respondents who support Independent MLA Vicki Huntington and B.C. Conservative Party answer “No” in (Q#2).
Generally speaking, through Q#1-Q#5 approximately (32%) of Decided ‘Voters’ answer more ‘positively’ toward Gordon Campbell and B.C. Liberals, while (68%) of Decided ‘Voters’ respond not ‘positively’ toward the current premier and government.
Based on responses that do not include Undecided-an average of (59%) respond not ‘positively’ toward Gordon Campbell and B.C. Liberals, while (29.5%) respond more ‘positively’ toward the current premier and government.
Estimate ‘real’ support for Gordon Campbell and B.C. Liberals at or about (31-33%).
In Richmond, South and North Delta--- (BC Liberal support in Richmond during recent provincial election—was around (60%), while Independent MLA Vicki Huntington beat BC Liberal candidate—AG Wally Oppal in close election in South Delta—geographically next to Richmond) --- the Decided rate is higher than the provincial average throughout all of the questions.
Gordon Campbell and B.C. Liberal support is higher in the Richmond, South and North Delta subgroup-- as is the number of respondents who answer “Likely” in (Q#2); however the number of respondents who answer “Unlikely” is slightly higher than the provincial average.
(60.5%) of respondents in Richmond, South and North Delta—one per cent less than the provincial average support-- a citizen Initiative—seeking a referendum vote.
British Columbia ‘Voters’ are not buying the B.C. Liberal government line that the “H.S.T.” was not on its radar prior to the election. The H.S.T. WAS on Gordon Campbell’s radar DURING the election when he said he would NOT bring in the H.S.T.
Over (60%) of B.C. ‘Voters’ support the launch of a Made in B.C. taxpayer revolution and launch of Citizen Initiative seeking a province wide referendum on the H.S.T.
According to Elections B.C. “Referendums do not take place on a regular basis. Instead they are held whenever the Lieutenant Governor, on the advice of cabinet, thinks that an expression of public opinion is desirable.” This public opinion says “Let’s get it on”.
Under a citizen’s Initiative application—if approved by Elections B.C. ------ those applicants seeking a referendum vote (“The Petitioner”) have 90 days from the date of approval to “Collect the signatures of 10% of the registered voters in each electoral district in the province.”
Once completed, the Initiative –Petition is reviewed by Elections B.C. to “Ensure that enough signatures of registered voters have been collected.” According to Elections B.C. this vetting process must be completed within 42 days.
This means that we would likely know if the citizens Initiative was successful by around the start of the 2010 Vancouver Whistler Olympic Games.
If Elections B.C. deems the Initiative (“The Review”) successful “A copy of the Petition and draft Bill (legislation) is forwarded to the Select Standing Committee on Legislative Initiatives, who must “Either recommend that the Bill be introduced in the Legislative Assembly (where the B.C. Liberals have a majority) OR proceed with a referendum which would not be held until September 24, 2011, more than two years from now. (Thanks to Elections BC for the information).
B.C. health minister Kevin Falcon is off to a rocky start in his new marriage—rumour has it his dismal start—forced Gordon Campbell to send him to Europe---and college for a couple of years—while Papa works a scalpel here at home. (We’ll see ya’ later alligator).
Carole James and the B.C. N.D.P. will ride along Bill Vander Zalm’s long line of elephants—and hop off when November 10, 2010 beckons recall-----do you get to keep the names you get from the Citizen’s Initiative to a provincial referendum?
If the streets are packed down by the Canada Pavilion/when Bill Vander Zalm, Carole James, Vicki Huntington, and Chris Delaney speak--/ show time comes—politically ambitious B.C. Liberals should have a strong drink and give the future some thought.
Should Jane Sterk and the B.C. Greens have declined the invitation to speak at the Citizens Initiative—there are a few B.C. Greens are anti H.S.T. it is an extremely retrogressive tax. After the unattractive support of noteworthy environmental advocates for Gordon Campbell in the last election—one has to wonder if sometimes normally principled people—get stale and lose focus.
The H.S.T. is going to be tough for Greens—its focus is taxation—a platform if there ever is one for Conservatives and Libertarians. Green Shifts---Teaberry shuffles—all of these language scams confuse people—the HST is a simple brand—and if some voters have a difficult time placing the devil horns on elected personalities—the transference to hating the H.S.T. is as simple as 1-2-3.
Who’s going to go online and read United States health care Bills? I’ll tell you now—six people—in the entire world six people will read this—why? You have to wade through a couple of hundred pages of Introductions, definitions of words, and other explanations and descriptions—for the sake of continuity and yes—to be clearer. The average person even braving to go online to seek this out—if they are aware of it—will immediately depart this word labyrinth—A Bill.
Here is the deal with the health care situation in the United States. There isn’t enough confidence in maintaining the status quo. I don’t care what any of the big news agencies say to the contrary. Insurance companies are going to have to come to heel on pre-existing injuries—and dropping clients. A just society cannot have the health and welfare of the people dominated in any way by entities which are (rightly) designed to make a profit.
On the other side however, the insurance companies have massive investments in the health system—and will hemorrhage if the mix with public health care proposed is too harsh.
People need access to a family doctor—someone who knows them well over their life time—a working relationship.
There is nothing wrong with public health care—Americans should utilize this—but in a way that compliments the private insurance not cannibalizes with taxpayer money. It’s been my own personal opinion—and that of many British Columbians that the provincial government has been quietly ‘sabotaging’ the public model here where I live—to set up the game for medical free enterprise—the opposite situation to the United States.
President Obama needs to hold out the olive branch of bi-partisan compromise based on these simple principles offered—but make it crystal clear- THAT there will be a Bill in Congress and soon—even if Democrats go it alone. This is high stakes domestic political poker and its all power—Mr. President you have this power—the other’s don’t—people are really only watching you—so--use it—and ignore the polls for a month—it’s a PR conspiracy of sorts—to fan a fight. Be sure to take names and numbers—you know what I’m talking about.
Gordon Campbell in my opinion has gone too far. Introducing a new tax when just weeks earlier it wasn’t an option—or wasn’t on the government’s radar is a lie and most B.C. voters in this ZEUS poll support this characterization. At the same time cutting health care which has certainly been in some decline over the BC Liberal years—while cutting taxes to the very rich---and now bringing on big business to embolden his H.S.T. ambitions---and having none of this dealt with during an election---a modest event in this province that we are apparently so lucky to have every four years---taken collectively suggests this government has (i) no concept of telling the truth, AND (ii) no ethics.
I would accept a deficit and no H.S.T. over a constant of lies and deceit.

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