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RSR ROBBINS Research - Canada Politics July 20, 2009
  Jul 20, 2009

1,023 respondents from the lower mainland of British Columbia including Vancouver city, North Shore Vancouver, Richmond, Burnaby, Delta, Surrey, Coquitlam, Port Coquitlam, Langley, Abbotsford, Chilliwack, New Westminster-between July 13-19, 2009. The margin of error for questions other than Entertainment questions is (3.5%) plus/minus, 19 times out of 20 @ 95% confidence/competency. Donation 'In Kind' provided by Jim Van Rassel (604) 328-5398.

Question #1
At this moment in time, which of the following responses BEST reflects your level of personal support for the Vancouver/Whistler 2010 Olympic Games?
High level    22.00 %
Medium level    29.00 %
Low level    12.00 %
I don’t support the 2010 Games    27.00 %
Undecided    9.00 %
Question #2
A B.C. Supreme Court Judge recently ruled that Canadian women ski jumpers prohibited from participating at the Vancouver 2010 Olympics by the I.O.C. were discriminated against, but because the I.O.C. is not a Canadian organization, and is legally registered outside Canada, it does not have to comply with our Charter Rights and Freedoms and as a consequence, Canadian women ski jumpers remain banned from participating in the 2010 Winter Olympics. Is this a just and fair decision in your opinion?
Yes    17.00 %
No    71.50 %
Undecided    14.50 %
Question #3
In your opinion is the cost/investment in the 2010 Winter Olympic Games likely affecting or going to affect social programs in B.C., such as health, welfare and education? (Positively and Negatively 'rotated')
Positively    19.00 %
Negatively    39.50 %
No Affect    25.50 %
Undecided    16.00 %
Question #4
In your opinion should opponents of the 2010 Winter Olympic Games be permitted to actively protest wherever they please so long as no laws are broken, and other citizens are not interfered with?
Yes    47.00 %
No    36.50 %
Undecided    16.50 %
Question #5
In your opinion will the 2010 Vancouver Olympic Games to be held in Vancouver, Whistler and Richmond B.C. in February 2010 Help or Hurt B.C.’s economy? (“Help” and “Hurt” rotated within question and rotated where offered in responses).
Hurt    39.00 %
Help    27.00 %
Neither “Hurt” nor “Help”    19.00 %
Undecided    15.00 %
Question #6
(Entertainment question)In your opinion or based on speculation- how will Vancouver’s 2010 Winter Olympics impact on home values where you live?
Positively    23.00 %
Negatively    11.50 %
Will have no impact    38.00 %
Undecided/Don't Know    28.00 %
Question #7
(Entertainment question) In your opinion do minority governments in Ottawa force elected MP’s to work harder for their constituents?
Yes    45.00 %
No    33.50 %
Undecided    21.50 %
Commentary
In question #1 “High” and “Medium” “level of personal support” for the Vancouver 2010 Olympics compared to “I don’t support the 2010 Olympic Games,” is 51/27 or compared as percentages (65.5%/35.5%) to the benefit of 2010 Olympic support. However, “High level” of support compared to “I don’t support the 2010 Olympic Games,” is 22/27 or compared as percentages (45%/55%) to the benefit of “I don’t support the 2010 Olympic Games.” If I add the “Low level” of support respondents in with the “I don’t support the 2010 Olympic Games,” the result is (42.5%) of all decided respondents either don’t support or have a “Low level” of support for the 2010 Winter Olympics.
Based on question #1 I would estimate that among decided respondents (44.5%) are not supporters of the 2010 Olympic Games and (55.5%) are supporters. Question #2 is an ‘advocacy manipulative’ question. The language in the question is sweetened a little in favour of the women ski jumpers. A very clear majority of respondents ‘bought in’ to the notion that the recent B.C. Supreme Court decision was not “just and fair”.
With the Petitioners/Plaintiffs set to Appeal this decision-questions will certainly be asked regarding the impact of these lawsuits on Canada’s Charter of Rights and Freedoms—or our Constitution—what precisely is in the text of the agreements between the I.O.C. and all other relevant or related parties, including but not limited to VANOC, the Province of British Columbia, the City of Vancouver, Richmond, and Municipality of Whistler? Does the text indicate that the I.O.C. and the Olympic event is exclusively unaffected by the Charter? Does it essentially say Canadians are laws are suspended for the benefit of the I.O.C.? What if hypothetically someone connected with the I.O.C. ran into trouble with the law? If this is the case, then we have a problem with the agreement-it ought not to have jurisdiction where signatures to the agreement were provided in Canada. No Canadian has the authority to supersede the Canadian Constitution. Can the I.O.C. ‘opt out’? If there is no such language in the text of these agreements, then the I.O.C.’s capacity to make decisions about an event held on Canadian soil, predicated on the fact that it is located outside Canada ought to be measured on the basis of the I.O.C’s relationship to the agents which are Canadian particularly VANOC.
As far as public relations goes, rejecting woman ski jumpers will come back to haunt these games--.
In question #3—after we (hoped) we had a good advocacy feel between caller and respondent we asked respondents what affect the cost/investment of the (likely) affect of the “2010 Winter Olympic Games” on “social programs in B.C. such as health, welfare, and education.” We hoped that the language “likely affecting or going to affect” would bring respondents to current or near term-we have little or not evidence if this occurred or not. Nearly (46%) of decided respondents are of the opinion the 2010 Winter Games will affect these programs “Negatively”. We note that respondents are making the connection between B.C. health minister Kevin Falcon’s announcement of cost saving measures being sought in the health care system, and potential cancellation of elected surgeries and other wage/cost savings associated with this time off. (If school is ‘off’ for the Olympics will schoolteacher’s have wages deducted?)
In question #4 we brought in a security question-mixed in with Charter Rights. We also mitigated against the “permitted to actively protest” with the somewhat denigrating (to the potential protestor(s)) “wherever they please”. There is some correlation between respondents who “don’t support the 2010 Games” from question #1 and those who choose response “Yes” in question #4 “In your opinion should opponents of the 2010 Winter Olympic Games be permitted to actively protest wherever they please so long as no laws are broken, and other citizens are not interfered with?”---
There are respondents who answered “Yes” in question #4 and who answered “High level” of support for the 2010 Olympic Games in question #1, and there are respondents who answered “Medium level”, “Low level” “Undecided” and “I don’t support the 2010 Games” who selected the “No” response from question #4.
In question #5 we identify three specific cities or municipalities where Olympic activities will be held. We ask respondents whether or not the 2010 Olympics will “Hurt” or “Help” the BC economy. There is a very definite correlation between respondents who answered “Hurt” in this question and “don’t support the 2010 Olympic Games” in question #1. There is also a very definite correlation between respondents who answered “Help” in this question and selected “High level” of support for the 2010 Olympic Games in question #1.
Our first “Entertainment” question (Q#6) relates to respondents opinions or speculation regarding the impact of the 2010 Olympics on real estate where the respondent “lives”. (65%) of respondents are of the opinion or speculate that there will be “no impact” or are “undecided/don’t know”. Of the remaining (35%), a stunning two thirds of respondents are of the opinion or speculating that real estate values will be impacted “positively” by the 2010 Winter Olympics.
In our second Entertainment question (Q#7), a majority of decided B.C. lower mainland respondents are of the opinion that MP’s “work harder for their constituents” in “minority government(s).” Anecdotally, I suspect that these British Columbians will desire at least their provincial or federal government be a minority one. Circumstances relating to low voter turnout and other very damning news relating to the BC Liberal government has more than a few (BC Liberal) supporters second guessing their choice, coupled with similar comments of non-confidence in the B.C. New Democrats. There are certainly ‘vacuums’ in B.C. politics.
I would estimate that currently (47-53%) of British Columbians of legal voting age (provincial) residing in the lower mainland of B.C., support the 2010 Olympics to a reasonable degree, while (40-43%) do not. We suspect based on previous polling on the 2010 Olympics that overall support declines somewhat the further one resides from the lower mainland.
A large minority of respondents are of the opinion that the 2010 Vancouver Winter Games will “Negatively” affect social programs like health, welfare, and education, while a similar number (39%) are of the opinion that the 2010 Olympics will “Hurt” the economy. The apparent baseline of opposition for the 2010 Vancouver Winter Games is pretty solid through (35-40%) of the population, while the baseline of solid support for the 2010 Games is similar.
Any ’proof’ which leads to an increase in positive or negative perceptions from the public as these perceptions relate to the economy and the 2010 Games will impact public support for the Games significantly.

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