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Carole James vs. Gordon Campbell-ROBBINS assesses the competitors
  Jul 28, 2004

This is a random telephone survey of 1,340 respondents throughout the Greater Vancouver Regional District including Vancouver City, Richmond, Delta, North Vancouver, (Squamish-Whistler-Pemberton *Whistler interview were done in person (25)), Burnaby, Coquitlam, Port Coquitlam, Port Moody, Maple Ridge, Mission, Surrey, Langley (Township as well), Abbotsford, Chilliwack, Aldergrove; between July 17 and July 28, 2004. All respondents indicated they were eligible to vote in the last provincial election in 2001. This survey has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.40%, 18 times out of 20 @ 97 per cent competency.

Question #1
Of these following two choices only, whom in your opinion would perform BEST with regards to Health Care in British Columbia?
Carole James and the BC NDP    54.55 %
Gordon Campbell and BC Liberals    36.72 %
Question #2
Of these following two choices only, whom in your opinion would perform BEST with regards to the economy in British Columbia?
Gordon Campbell and the BC Liberals    62.01 %
Carole James and the BC NDP    32.01 %
Question #3
Of these following two choices only, whom in your opinion would perform BEST with regards to education in British Columbia?
Carole James and the BC NDP    65.97 %
Gordon Campbell and BC Liberals    32.99 %
Question #4
Of these following two choices only, whom in your opinion would perform BEST with regards to Seniors issues in British Columbia?
Gordon Campbell and BC Liberals    31.04 %
Carole James and the BC NDP    65.00 %
Question #5
Of these following two choices only, whom in your opinion would perform BEST with regards to transportation and infrastructure development in British Columbia?
Carole James and the BC NDP    52.01 %
Gordon Campbell and the BC Liberals    48.06 %
Question #6
Of these following two choices only, whom in your opinion would perform BEST with regards to mining, forestry, and resource development?
Carole James and the BC NDP    39.02 %
Gordon Campbell and BC Liberals    52.99 %
Question #7
Of these following two choices only, whom in your opinion would perform BEST with regards to the environment in British Columbia?
Gordon Campbell and BC Liberals    28.88 %
Carole James and the BC NDP    66.72 %
Question #8
Which of the following choices are your first and second choices as the most important policy consideration for BCs future over the next five years? (averaged)
BC Health and Welfare    23.50 %
Education-post secondary and K-12    17.93 %
Economy and Resource Development    24.83 %
Transportation and Infrastructure    19.31 %
Environment and Seniors issues    14.48 %
Question #9
Using increments of 5 per cent (between zero and 100 per cent) please assess the influence which you believe BC government policy has on the economy of the province, after factoring all possible economic influences:
Average    35.00 %
Question #10
Using increments of 5 per cent (between zero and 100 per cent) please assess the influence which you believe BC government policy has on health care in the province, after factoring all possible influences:
Average    50 %
Question #11
When you wake up after the next general provincial election in May 2005, which of the following two people would you hope to see as your Premier?
Carole James    45.22 %
Gordon Campbell    32.01 %
Neither Carole James or Gordon Campbell    22.76 %
Commentary
Commentary-No surprise here, Carole James defeats Gordon Campbell on issues such as health and education including post-secondary education (where the Campbell government has been trying harder). Gordon Campbell does much better on the economic side of the equation, and surprisingly Carole James gets the nod on transportation and infrastructure. The announcement of the new BC Ferries being built out of province, and the RAV debacle influenced the Campbell and Liberal numbers dramatically downward. This reminds me of the downward pressure experienced by the Campbell government after winning the Olympics and setting off to sell the Coquihalla. British Columbians in the G.V.R.D. do not believe that the provincial government has as much influence over economic growth through government policy as other influences including market forces have. On the other hand, respondents believe the provincial government plays a larger role in matter of Health concerns. The other major player in provincial health is no doubt the federal government. Insight-Gordon Campbell is in an awkward situation in the current Health Care negotiations. He is perceived as an underachiever on this file, demands increased funding from Ottawa, but does not want the strings attached, even though British Columbians do not trust him to manage the money out of general revenues. British Columbians are of the opinion that the province plays a significant role in the delivery of health care, so it would appear that a very clever Prime Minister Paul Martin has pit one unattractive bull in terms of Federal Health Minister Ujjal Dosanjh against another equally unattractive one in terms of Premier Gordon Campbell, to fight over the deal.

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