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RSR ROBBINS Research - Canada Politics January 24, 2008
  Jan 24, 2008

This is a Vancouver Metro-Poll (V-MP) "Polling people believe in" of 515 respondents conducted between January 14-20, 2008 features respondents who are old enough to vote in both a federal and provincial election (19); regularly vote in provincial and federal elections; and who are eligible to vote in the next federal general election and next provincial general elections- through random telephone interviews throughout the Vancouver Metropolitan area. This poll sponsored by Jim Van Rassel (604) 328-5398 and distributed to thousands of readers worldwide, features a margin of error of 4.55 to 5.75%, 19 times out of 20, at 98% confidence. (Please note that some respondents are old enough to vote in federal elections, or who will be old enough to vote in the next BC provincial election, were not able to establish themselves as 'voters' if they were not previously eligible to vote), and as such this segment of the population did not have an opportunity to participate in this poll. 'Voters'/respondents were asked their gender but not their age. Data for this project was collected by ROBBINS Sce Research (1998). Look forward to poll by Edmonton Metro-Poll; Calgary Metro-Poll;

Question #1
Which of the following federal political parties and leaders do you currently support? (Degree of support in (brackets) 10 is highest degree, 5 is lowest degree, rounded to nearest .25)
Conservative Party of Canada, Stephen Harper leader-35.32% (8.25) (Score 29.14) (35.9%)    35.32 %
Liberal Party of Canada, Stephane Dion leader-27.88% (7.25) (Score 20.21) (24.99%)    27.88 %
New Democratic Party of Canada, Jack Layton leader-30.11% (8.0) (Score 24.88) (30.6%)    30.11 %
Green Party of Canada, Elizabeth May leader-7.61% (8.0) (Score 6.88) (8.4%)    7.61 %
Question #2
Which of the following provincial parties and leaders do you currently support? (Degree of support in (brackets) 10 is highest degree, 5 is lowest degree, rounded to nearest .25)
BC Liberal Party, Gordon Campbell leader-38.44% (7.0) (Score 26.90%) (38%)    38.44 %
BC NDP Party, Carole James leader-46.68% (7.0) (Score 32.68) (46.2%)    46.68 %
BC Green Party, Jane Sterk leader-14.74% (7.5) (Score 11.05%) (15.6%)    14.74 %
Undecided-(23%) ‘Rounded’    23 %
Question #3
Which of these three groups of professional types do you respect the most?
Politicians    22.5 %
Lawyers/Judges    15.8 %
Police    31.6 %
Frankly, I don’t have respect for any of these    31.1 %
Undecided/Don’t Know/Can’t Answer    02 %
Question #4
Which of these three professional types do you respect the least?
Politicians    40.3 %
Lawyers/Judges    38.4 %
The Police    16.3 %
Frankly, I respect all of these professions    05 %
Undecided/Don’t Know/Can’t Answer    06 %
Question #5
In your opinion how ‘interesting’ is BC politics?
Very interesting    03 %
Interesting    20 %
Not interesting    55 %
Very uninteresting    22 %
Question #6
In your opinion how ‘interesting’ is Canadian politics?
Very interesting    09 %
Interesting    28 %
Not interesting    38 %
Very uninteresting    25 %
Undecided/Don’t Know/Can’t Answer    04 %
Question #7
In your opinion should BC politicians at the municipal, provincial and federal level, including Senators, be compelled by law to give up these positions after a certain length of public service in that office?
Yes    64 %
No    36 %
Question #8
Major media consists of newspapers, radio, and television. In any one media environment such as Metro Vancouver, of these three types of medium how many should any one corporation be permitted to own?
One    71 %
Two    29 %
Three    00 %
Question #9
Should a major competitor in the cable- satellite business be given sole responsibility of the DO NOT CALL List covering complaints by Canadian consumers regarding their residential and commercial cable and satellite service?
Yes    09 %
No    91 %
Uncertain/Can’t Answer    26 %
Question #10
Do you accept the structure of the new taxpayer funded Translink Board which does not feature any elected official, whose decisions are made by so-called experts who are not accountable to the public?
Yes    22.5 %
No    77.5 %
Undecided/Don’t Know    12.5 %
Question #11
Which of the following two choices for response in your opinion BEST reflects why people get into politics in the first place?
Public Service    33 %
Power    67 %
Question #12
Are you watching the race for President of the United States on television?
Yes    27 %
No    73 %
Question #13
Currently, a committee of lawyers makes recommendations for appointments to the BC Supreme Court. The Attorney General of Canada makes the announcement. In your opinion should BC Supreme Court Judges be elected in order to be more accountable to the citizenry?
Yes    68 %
No    32 %
Undecided/Don’t Know/Can’t Answer    04 %
Question #14
Would you like to see a federal general election held in the spring of 2008?
Yes    50.33 %
No    36.77 %
Not sure    22.76 %
Question #15
(To those who answer “yes” in question )-If 10 is highest level of certainty that you want a general federal election in the spring of 2008, and 5 is the lowest level of certainty, how would you score your desire for a federal general election to be held in the spring of 2008?
7.25/10     %
Question #16
For which of the following political parties do you currently offer your unwavering and unequivocal support?
Federal Conservative-22.08%- (62.5% of total in Q1) - (Score 16.7%)    22.08 %
Federal Liberal-11.23%- (40.20% of total in Q1)-(Score 10.7%)    11.23 %
Federal NDP-16.35%- (54.3% of total in Q1)-(Score 14.5%)    16.35 %
Federal Green-6.44%- (84.6% of total in Q1)-(Score 22.6%)    6.44 %
BC NDP-21.80%- (46.7% of total in Q2)-(Score 12.5%)    21.80 %
BC Liberal-14.25%- (37.2% of total in Q2)-(Score 10.6%)    14.25 %
BC Green-6.71%- (45.5% of total in Q2)-(Score 12.1%)    6.71 %
Other person or party    1.11 %
Undecided/Can’t Answer    14.71 %
Average    14.285 %
Mean    12.5 %
Question #17
If you were paid $100 to join a BC political party and your membership fee was $1.00, leaving $99.00 for yourself, which political party would you be most likely to join, (or are you already a member)?
BC NDP    37.4 %
BC Liberal    26 %
BC Green    36.5 %
None    38 %
Undecided/Don’t Know/Can’t Answer    16 %
Question #18
How would you measure your support for Gordon Campbell’s recent transportation announcement?
I support it    48 %
I don’t support it    52 %
Not interested/Undecided/Can’t Answer    17 %
Question #19
(To those who support Gordon Campbell’s transportation announcement) If 10 is the highest level of support and 5 is the lowest level of support how would you rate your support for this transportation announcement?
6.0     %
Question #20
On January 7, 2008 a Vancouver news source reported that former BC Liberal Attorney General Geoff Plant, after quitting politics in2005, registered as a Lobbyist with a national law firm, Heenan Blaikie, where former Liberal Prime Minister Jean Chretien now works. Instead of registering under his political name Geoff Plant when he was BC Liberal Attorney General for four years, he registered himself as a Lobbyist under his birth certificate name “Paul Plant”. In your opinion was former BC Liberal Attorney General Geoff Plant filing a ‘consciously misleading application’ by using his birth name Paul Plant and not the name he used in politics?
Yes    77 %
No    23 %
Undecided/Don’t Know/Can’t Answer    08 %
Question #21
According to the news report in the Tyee.ca Online newspaper, when former Attorney General Geoff Plant registered under the name Paul Plant, he explained his reason for so doing was because his full ‘given’ name is Paul Geoff Plant and there wasn’t room to include his full name. In your opinion is this explanation:
Reasonable    2.2 %
Ridiculous    97.8 %
Undecided/Don’t Know/Can’t Answer    06 %
Question #22
On October 29, 2002 BC Liberal Attorney General Geoff Plant submitted a News Release entitled Lobbyists Registry: To Improve Openness, Accountability. In that press release Mr. Plant wrote “the Lobbyist Registry will allow the public to find out who is being paid to influence MLA’s and government staff, who they are lobbying, and the issues they are raising”. In your opinion was former BC Liberal Attorney General Geoff Plant’s decision to use the name Paul Plant instead of Geoff Plant, when he filled out his Lobbyist registration as a partner in the liberal law firm Heenan Blaikie, an indication of accountability on his part?
Yes    17 %
No    83.2 %
Uncertain/Can’t Answer    10 %
Question #23
The police raided the BC Legislature over four years ago, and still there is no indication of when a trial will proceed. In your opinion which of the following best explains why this case is taking so long to go to trial.
The courts always move slowly, that’s just how it is    39 %
The trial will likely be negative publicity for the Premier and/or his BC Liberal political party, with an election in the coming year or so    61 %
Undecided/Don’t Know/Can’t Answer    11 %
Commentary
STAT/Highlights:
Federal Conservatives show higher support from 2006 in V-MP II but have dropped 1/2% of total in two weeks;
Federal Liberals show lower support from 2006 and have gained 1/2% (of total 100%) in last two weeks.
Federal NDP is showing similar support to 2006 and has gained 2% in last two weeks.
Federal Green is much improved from 2006 but is down 1/2% in last two weeks. In British Columbia, Gordon Campbell’s BC Liberals continue to slowly slide under 40%, toward that slippery slope of inevitably where ‘just when the fun starts the game is suddenly over’, while Carole James BC NDP continues to maintain a higher popular support which is firming up nicely in the mid 40’s. James is up and the press is giving her the smokescreen of no scrutiny while they give Gordon Campbell one more chance to raise some big money from the business community, which purchased this very mediocre government from the media who sold it lock and stock to a population searching for something better at the turn of the century in BC.
It’s safe to say that something better never really materialized. We stalled a lot because we didn’t have real leadership. Honestly, I don’t think Campbell was EVER the same after the drinking and driving. Politics is an extremely dynamic business worth billions and billions of dollars. Although economically speaking BC has about the same annual GDP as some African countries, it is nonetheless important that we begin a journey to real accountability. This isn’t acceptable. It is no better than dishonest, and we won’t be ready for the world if we have a democracy which appears very silly at many times.
At least the Premier can provide that 1 billion plus Prime Minister Harper sent us for the mess which is our forestry business. That money has gone to general revenues, so good luck forestry workers at ever realizing any money. Here’s the good news though, if Campbell keeps the forestry bail out dough from the feds, the population will eat him alive. If Campbell pays it to the large forestry corporations, the United States has already served notice they will sue us blue AGAIN. This is an easy decision. Let that federal money flow through to the workers who have suffered, the businesses ought to have saved for a rainy day.
Often, when I’m writing about BC politics, at least since Campbell’s been Premier, I never felt any vibe. In fact I felt disconnected from the province. A lot of other people do as well.
BC Greens continue double digit support.
The Conservatives seem to be able to hover around the high 30’s and poke around 40% nationally even on those occasions where they aren’t very interesting, exciting, or good for that matter.
The most obvious reason for the Conservative good fortune is a Prime Minister who is up to the job, and an Opposition who hasn’t gotten consistent traction. The Liberals shouldn’t be so hard on Stephane, afterall they were in government for 13 years, and lost government not JUST because of horrible conduct in Quebec but also because we the people were bored with them. The same thing will inevitably happen to Stephen Harper.
Federal Conservative support is derived from (57%) male and (42%) female respondents; Federal Liberal support is derived from (46%) male and (54%) female respondents; Federal NDP support is derived from (44%) male and (56%) female respondents; Federal Green support is derived from (48%) male and (52%) female respondents;
(11.59%) of ALL respondents are male Conservative respondents who have decided to offer medium support for Gordon Campbell’s recent transportation announcement (GCRTA)
(4.64%) of ALL respondents are female Conservative respondents who have decided to offer medium support for (GCRTA)
(6.40%) of ALL respondents are male Liberal respondents who have decided to offer medium support for (GCRTA)
(4.06%) of ALL respondents are female Liberal respondents who have decided to offer medium support for (GCRTA)
(6.35%) of ALL respondents are male NDP respondents who have decided to offer medium support for (GCRTA)
(1.88%) of ALL respondents are female NDP respondents who have decided to offer medium support for (GCTRA)
(1.058%) of ALL respondents are male Green respondents who have decided to offer medium support for (GCTRA)
(.475%) of ALL respondents are female Green respondents who have decided to offer medium support for (GCTRA)
(36.453%) of ALL respondents male and female respondents have decided to offer medium support for (GCTRA).
Comments and Observations:
Police are most respected more than least respected by a ratio of 2:1. For every 1 respondent who “most” respects politicians there are nearly 2 who “least” respects them.
For every one person who “most” respects lawyers/judges there are 2.5 who “least” respects them.
An undeniable majority of British Columbians are of the opinion that former BC Attorney General filed a ‘consciously misleading’ application as a Lobbyist under provincial laws.
An undeniable majority of British Columbians are of the opinion that former BC Attorney General filed a ‘consciously misleading’ application as a Lobbyist under provincial laws.
Nearly all respondents are of the opinion that Attorney General Geoff Plant’s explanation that he filed his application under ‘Paul Plant’ because there wasn’t enough space is “ridiculous”.
Nearly every respondent views Geoff Plant’s actions as unaccountable, while every respondent thought Geoff Plant’s actions ought to be more fully investigated.
The people of British Columbia as reflected in this ROBBINS poll have clearly decided that the delays in the BC Rail case going to trial is perceived to be the courts protecting Gordon Campbell’s BC Liberal government. This perception is supported by many respondents who acknowledge “isn’t (current AG) Wally Oppal a former judge? Will the public’s initial suspicions about the link between politics and the Courts in BC be fueled when they find out about the Decisions and Reasons from BC Supreme Court Assistants, Chiefs, and even the record of the current Judge overseeing the BC Rail case?
Surely, in light of the troubles we are having in this province, and the number of respondents who expect greater accountability from our judicial system through their support for the election of judges in this province, we must all shine a collective light on this BC Rail case. If it doesn’t happen soon, we will have to begin to examine the records of BC Supreme Court Judges including Ms. Bennett who presides over the BC Rail matter.
Should politicians, lawyers/judges, the police and even the mainstream media, have their reputations impugned in order to protect the interests of ten or twenty, or even fifty politicians in the province who might be ‘dirty’?
Should politicians, lawyers/judges, the police and even the mainstream media, have their reputations impugned in order to protect the interests of ten or twenty, or even fifty politicians in the province who might be ‘dirty’?
A clear majority of decided respondents within the context of this poll are of the opinion that former BC Liberal Geoff Plant’s appointment as partner in law firm Heenan Blaikie and registration as Lobbyist for that law firm under a different name, are suspect.
It is somewhat ironic the high numbers of respondents who are ready to ‘convict’ the former BC Liberal Attorney General Geoff Plant and (former) bunk mate to Gordon Campbell when staying in Beautiful Victoria BC (home to the Butchart Gardens) for his actions in filing to become a Lobbyist as a partner in Human Rights law firm Heenan Blaikie, and the high number of respondents who do not have respect for lawyers/judges.
The actions of politicians and lawyer/judges in this province speak for itself, and it doesn’t speak highly. Former Manitoba provincial Liberal, CanWest Global founder and Human Rights activist Izzy Asper must be rolling over in his grave watching these events in BC diminish the credibility of human rights activities in BC and across Canada.
Unless of course we consider the mess that our media and communications industry is in. Imagine a DO NOT CALL list for consumers run by one of the major players in the industry. Imagine complaining to the CRTC Vancouver and being told that ‘So and so major media conglomerate has a lot of lawyers’ so don’t bother complaining?
Consider when Can West Global first bought their newspapers and other from Hollinger Inc., formerly Conrad Black’s company. Can West is reputed to have overpaid and incurred interest rates of 12% plus. The good friend of Can West founder Izzy Asper, friend to former Prime Minister Jean Chretien, received valuable licenses through the CRTC which strengthened their balance sheets enabling them to secure further funding. Later, after Conrad Black had left, Can West was able to negotiate more favourable interest rates with Hollinger on terms and conditions which are not readily apparent.
Why did the Conservative government give $100 million dollars of taxpayer monies to the Human Rights museum in Winnipeg, administered by the Asper family? Why are monies being paid annually for costs associated with the museum? If these wealthy families, their investors, and friends and associates are permitted to essentially regulate themselves, without any proper oversight, why can’t they raise monies through their own societies, and friends and associates to pay for all of their ‘good deeds’.
It offends me that on one hand a human rights organization or museum is able to counter criticisms of its business practices with public relations about good deeds in the community, when those ‘good deeds’ are sponsored in part by the same consumer/taxpayers who may not be receiving proper value (through reporting, researching etc.) from the business itself.
In any event, if these massive companies soliciting Canadian consumers over the telephone are not properly regulated than the problems facing Canadian consumers and their telephones will never be rectified.
Canada is a large geographical country with a relatively small population. We need to vigorously strengthen all regulation of business wherein large billion dollar corporations interact with consumers at their place of residence. Obviously this poll underscores public opinion on this account.
Speaking of communication, Campbell’s transportation announcement may seem pretty good on its face. But he failed to grab 51% of the public, many of whom are completely frustrated with the transportation system. Thus many respondents who do support the announcement do so without any conviction, and provoke many more questions than have been answered. The other half of the population is long gone believing anything the Premier says.
The media which has propped Campbell up for over four years, and barely squeaked him through a victory in 2005, is now declaring Campbell the Attention Deficit Disorder Premier while at the same time suggesting he is 10 points ahead of the NDP. Our polls are clearly showing the BC NDP solidifying higher support totals than the BC Liberals.
Clearly, the loss of Carole Taylor and Olga Ilich (along with others), accompanied by the transportation announcement which was mostly recycled news, and no clear plan, is exposing the Premier for what he really is. A leader with no substance creating major policy in the province with no substance.
Dude, show me don’t tell me. The same goes for you Sammy.
Politicians complain to me that they get a bum rap. This is utter garbage. Politicians deserve every bit of abuse they are (increasingly) confronting. It is their job to do a sufficiently credible job to make politics interesting and attractive to the electorate. In this country politics is about joining a club, and being advanced if the club (the party) wants to advance you. As a consequence, the same old same old boring politicians keep control for (too) long periods of time, and do nothing to advance democratic values. As evidenced in this poll, British Columbians are sick of politicians at every level.
To understand why lawyers/judges are seen at the bottom of the credibility level, one only needs turn on the television, radio, or read a newspaper. Also, the BC Rail delays are serving to make this impression worse. Moreover, simply look at the questions and outcomes relating to our investigation of former BC Liberal Attorney General Geoff Plant. This guy allegedly has a Harvard education. This doesn’t matter to ROBBINS, once we see you wearing a big red nose and long floppy shoes, we calls it as we and the rest of the people sees it.
Slimy.
Glen P. Robbins

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