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RSR ROBBINS Research - Canada Politics December 2, 2007
  Dec 02, 2007

A random sample of 1255 Canadians between November 26, 2007 and December 02, 2007. (515) respondents were achieved in Ontario, while (153) were achieved in Quebec. (306) respondents were achieved in British Columbia (125) in Alberta, (45) Saskatchewan, (50) Manitoba, (36) Atlantic Provinces, and 25 were deemed spoiled-net 1,230. This poll reflects a margin of error of 2.88% 19 times out of 20 @97% competency. This poll was paid for in part by Jim Van Rassel (604) 328-5398. Mr. Van Rassel is a small businessman, and advocate for true private property rights for Canadians. He is a member of the Conservative Party of Canada but has no influence on the nature of the questions, the contents of the questions, or the observations/commentary (if any), unless where stipulated.

Question #1
Do you support the re-election of Stephen Harper as Prime Minister of Canada?
Yes    54 %
No    46 %
Question #2
For which political leader and party would you caste your ballot if an election was held today?
Stephen Harper and Conservatives    40 %
Stephan Dion and Liberals    30.5 %
Jack Layton and NDP    19 %
Gilles Duceppe and Bloc    07 %
Elizabeth May and Green    4.5 %
Question #3
At the end of a (3) day meeting of the 53 Commonwealth nations, Canadian Prime Minister Stephen Harper was reported to have fought against “binding commitments” for greenhouse gas emissions that would be applied to developed countries, but would exclude India, also a Commonwealth country, who is a large emitter of greenhouse gas, but considered a developing country, and thus exempt from the “binding agreements”. The Leader of the Opposition Liberal Party, Stephane Dion believes Mr. Harper’s position shows a lack of leadership. He says our role is to be exemplary, to show leadership, to encourage other countries to do more. Generally Speaking, based on what I have just read to you over the telephone, whose position do you support more?
Stephen Harper, Prime Minister of Canada    62 %
Stephane Dion, Leader of the Opposition    35 %
Question #4
Would you like Canada to be part of a new International agreement at Bali, to replace the Kyoto Accord, which ought to be concluded in the coming two years, which would include all major emitters of greenhouse gases and other air pollution, including specifically India, China and the United States?
Yes    61 %
No    39 %
Commentary
Observations and Commentary:
(54%) of Canadians support the re-election of Prime Minister Stephen Harper, leader of the Conservative Party of Canada, however just 40% would vote for the PM and his Conservative Party if a vote were held today. Thus, politically, the Schreiber affair, is an attempt to divide Conservatives.
Almost two thirds of a majority of Canadians support the Prime Ministers position with regard to global warming advanced at a recent meeting of Commonwealth nations from around the world.
A clear majority of Canadians in this ROBBINS Sce Research (1998) poll wants PM Harper to pursue a new International agreement to include major polluters such as China, India, and the United States.
The highest support for the Prime Minister’s re-election comes from Alberta @ (71%). The lowest support comes from Quebec @ (36%).
Support for Prime Minister Stephen Harper and his Conservative Party of Canada is solid, and will be difficult to shake.
However, Liberal Opposition leader Stephane Dion’s average support is over 30% now, the first time in many months. Mr. Dion’s reinvigorated popularity bodes well for those of us who live by the edict, “just be yourself”. He is, and the political world is looking infinitely better for him.
Jack Layton’s federal NDP Party is still doing well. Sometimes, as his party ascends in popularity, it seems to confront less air time from the media. In the volatile margins of public opinion any anticipated future stalls should be anticipated and compensated for.
If the environment in Ottawa at the upcoming all committee political reality TV known as the Schreiber/Mulroney Show heats up, and if NDP committee member NDP Pat Martin brings his “A” game there will be one helluva lot of younger people joining the NDP. Although the federal NDP will give some ground to both the Conservatives and Liberals on the global warming and environment front, Mr. Martin an expert on the government’s policy centre-piece “Accountability”, may have a chance to score big with the Schreiber/Mulroney ’circus’.
The Chair of the committee Paul Szabo is a Liberal MP, but is very conservative.
The Bloc Quebecois are always the equal or better than their political opponents in debate but once again get short changed on news. Where is the Bloc in this Mulroney matter? How much appetite do you think the public has for this type of sleazy history lesson after Adscam? (Schreiber better be good, sooner than later, or let’s move on).
Gilles Duceppe is always worth the watch, however the Bloc may have to consider downsizing. Only an election will ultimately answer the question of the current relevance of the Bloc Quebecois.
The Green Party’s increase in support seems to have vanished as everyone else (with members in the House of Commons) gets to talk ‘Green’, and will be committed to showing themselves well during meetings in Bali. Good on the Green Party for making people wake up to the needs of the world’s environment(s). Does this mean the Green Party has more political capital and less political legitimacy or vica versa? I might suggest The Green Earth Party change, to expand politically. (Reg-Glen P. Robbins).
The highest support for Stephane Dion’s position in question #2 comes from BC with (40%), (the remaining 60% supporting the PM), while Quebec ‘surprisingly’ only commits (32%) to Dion on this question. Quebec’s undecided rate is (14.5%), while the national undecided on this question is under (07%). This information suggests the Prime Minister has Quebec’s attention on the matter of the environment. In the interests of both Canadians and Canada, the Government and the Opposition, will have to be thorough and thoughtful.
Question #3 was sufficiently complex for respondents to necessitate some explanation. Some respondents said “No” because although they want a new International agreement, they are concerned Canada may have to wait for the United States, or will have our preferred position as honest broker usurped. It is unclear if respondents have any confidence in China and India, which raises the question, is this another brick in the wall?
There is a minority of Canadians still hanging onto the hope of a Kyoto Accord.
We need a concerted effort on this one.
Final Comments:
The overall sense of these two questions as far as Canadians is concerned, Kyoto is over (particularly with the public relations debacle in Japan over the abuse of so-called comfort women). Now the Conservative government must push vigorously for an International climate change deal, which includes ALL serious polluter nations.
The common sense that is assumed (albeit imperfectly) by money and economics can be easily lost in the luster of prizes.
You have to get everyone in the deal, and be prudent (not cheap) with the people’s money. Otherwise some Canadians who currently support the government’s position will lose faith over their intentions.
If the United States comes to the table in a meaningful way (and why wouldn’t they after Gore’s Grammy), other major polluters (China, India) will need to follow- or look disgusting to the world of public opinion.
If the United States does not, there are enough Canadians for Stephane Dion to say “I told you so” and get back on even ground with the government on this issue. It won’t change the fortunes of the Conservative government at this point, but it might make it a little more interesting.
The observations and comments are not necessarily the opinion(s) of the writer, Glen P. Robbins. They are intended to reflect the opinion and attitudes of a majority of the voices from within the poll. Some bias where subjective commentary may exist, is to be expected from time to time. Information for the purpose of developing the questions in this poll was taken in part from the Globe and Mail Newspaper, November 26, 2007. Although, the Globe and Mail is a very good newspaper, we respectfully state that we have no business arrangement whatsoever with this newspaper, and use it from time to time to source material and research polling questions and concepts.

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