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RSR ROBBINS Research - Canada Politics June 11, 2007
  Jun 11, 2007

A random telephone sample of 1,250 Canadians between June 2-10, 2007, and specifically (450) British Columbia; (400) Ontario; (120) Quebec; (40) Alberta, (30) Saskatchewan, (30) Manitoba (Prairie provinces previously called-not random); and (280) in Atlantic Provinces.
This poll features a margin of error of 2.25%, 19 times out of 20 @98% competency.
This poll was sponsored by ROBBINS ASK, ROBBINS Media Works, Jim Van Rassel, proprietor New Trend Optical (604) 942-9300 and another TBA.

Question #1
Would you be willing to pay more for retail products which are manufactured in Canada (Made in Canada), all other things being relatively equal?
Yes    73.5 %
No    26.5 %
Question #2
In your opinion should the federal government provide those Canadian companies which sell Canadian products with a special designation or benefit such as a GST exemption or other, in order to protect Canadian manufacturing jobs?
Yes    66 %
No    33 %
Question #3
If a product is manufactured in China, and sells retail in Canada for $100.00 and a similar product is Made in Canada and sold in the same store as the product from China, how much more (if any) would you be willing to pay for the Made in Canada product (expressed as a percentage or dollar amount over $100.00)?
Average $14    14 %
Question #4
How much of a retailer's product line or inventory in terms of both valuation or inventory should be Made in Canada in order to qualify for the ROBBINS 'special designation' referred to previously?
Average    74 %
Question #5
If a general federal election were held tomorrow for which leader and party would you caste your ballot?
Stephen Harper and Conservatives    39.80 %
Stephane Dion and Liberals    28.25 %
Jack Layton and New Democrats    17.17 %
Elizabeth May and Green Party    6.97 %
Gilles Duceppe and Bloc Quebecois    7.81 %
Commentary
Observations:
Stephen Harper's Conservative Party of Canada is up from the last federal general election in regions of the country where it benefits them the most, namely Ontario, Quebec and BC.
Conservatives are up 15% + in Ontario (40.5%), are up (36%) in Quebec from 2006 and (11%) in British Columbia.
The Conservatives are down marginally on the Prairie Provinces, including Alberta (62% from 65%) while Saskatchewan is down to (45% from 49%) and Manitoba is up to (45% from 43%).
In the Atlantic Provinces, the Conservatives are down to (34% from 43%) in Newfoundland and Labrador, (31% from 33.5%) in PEI, and (25% from 30%) in Nova Scotia, while remaining even in New Brunswick from the last federal general election in January 2006.
The Liberals are not doing as well and are trending downward.
The Liberal Party of Canada has lost support in BC and Ontario (02% in BC), and (08%) in Ontario, but have gained (3.2%) in Quebec.
The federal Liberals have gained (02%) in Saskatchewan, (2.5%) in Alberta, and lost support all through the Atlantic Provinces.
Liberals are down to (39%) support in Newfoundland and Labrador, (46%) in PEI, (36%) in Nova Scotia, and (32%) in New Brunswick. Stephane Dion was booed by a Union, villified in Conservative attack ads (once again as a weak leader), his strongest announcement concerned bilinguilism, and only the Ontario Premier's brother (McGuinty) with a provincial election looming, and on her way out Belinda Stronach seemed willing to help Mr. Dion. Moreover the obvious political support for some in the Atlantic Provinces (see: Conservative Bill Casey kicked out of Conservative caucus), is another inconsistency with equalization involving non renewable resources in a country (and a world) which is pre-occupied with resolving matters pertaining to the dependency on oil and oil products. The Federal Liberal Party under Stephane Dion has been reduced to Keystone Cops politics, while the press covers it like it matters.
The New Democrats and Greens have been the beneficiaries of declining Conservative and Liberal support in the Atlantic Provinces. I don't know if Mr. Casey could have known his actions would have such indirect consequences which although negative in some respects for his own party in the region also hurt the Liberals who have a strong history here. "The enemy of my enemy is my friend".
Support for Made in Canada purchases and 'special incentives' in high across the country. These numbers are consistently high across the country with averages (11%) lower in Quebec 'across' the Board, save for wage increases where they are similar to the final average.
Canadian respondents expect that if a Made in Canada designation is to be provided (with some type of benefit for the distinction) than their inventory or value of product line sold better be well over (80%). Liberal and Bloc supporters pulled down averages as many of their supporters did not want a special status for companies, and correspondingly averaged around (30-35%) for question #3. Many respondents indicated that product line and inventories should be (100%) Made in Canada to realize on any benefits from that distinction.
Commentary:
There is very obvious support for Made in Canada products, or more specifically stores which sell products manufactured in Canada.
New Democrat supporters were highest in support of Made in Canada products receiving a special distinction (89%), while Conservatives were next highest (80%). Green supporters were next with (77%) and Liberals (50%). Bloc Quebecois supporters were not 'biting' and the odd respondent who did support this was considered a spoiled ballot.
These numbers trended upward for every party when considering whether or not they would pay more for Made in Canada products. This included nominally Bloc Quebecois supporters who in this case were included in the totals for "Yes".
Respondents in Ontario were willing to pay (18%) over baseline $100.00 determined for the comparable product from China, while Quebecors were willing to pay (09%) over that amount.
As mentioned, many respondents who did not support a special designation for Canadian firms, (mostly Liberal and Bloc) skewed the average downward as most of these respondents provided a percentage answer which was substantially lower than the amounts provided by the majority of respondents who did agree with the special designation.
This pattern did not impact in the same way on respondents positions on how much more they would pay, or the fact that they would be willing to pay more.
Prime Minister Stephen Harper achieved political Superstar status Internationally at the G8 meetings, but the mainstream press in Canada missed it entirely.
Although the Prime Minister's party is hovering around the 40-41% required for majority, he remains just shy owing largely to extremely bias or inept coverage of events by the mainstream news.
It is pretty obvious that many publishers and news producers in this country are a little short on fundamentals concerning International relations.
The mainstream press had to know that the Kyoto Protocol was not going to hold up as the main constituent part of a Global Warming solution, and it appears that it will become part of a greater regime which will endeavour to bring on board bigger polluters such as the United States, China and India.
Mainstream press seemed to ignore the implications for Prime Minister Stephen Harper's participation as a deal maker between Russia's Putin and the United States President George W. Bush, concerning particularly missile defence, Europe with a view to security interests relating specifically to the Middle East and more particularly Iran and of course Iraq.
These strategic global interests are linked to discussions of Global Warming solutions because the overall regime structure will include discussions of the United Nations and the role that China will play vis-a-vis its role with regard to security votes.
Considering Mr. Harper was able to broker discussions between Mr. Putin and Mr. Bush, it is hoped that one half of the strategic vote concerning the future of Iran and its nuclear ambitions will be moved towards a resolve, but this might also leave emerging global power China in the lurch on strategic defence, Global Warming, and Human Rights.
Clearly, Canada is fully engaged in its new role as world power broker under the able guidance of Canada's new political star Stephen Harper. The Bono spin on Africa was capably handled by Stephen Harper by what he didn't say was indicating that agreements in place for Africa and debt relief should be honoured, that Bono isn't a head of state, and that the European Union countries are doing little (other than Britain) to help in the world vis-a-vis specifically conflict in Afghanistan, and should rightly turn some of their attention and resources to Africa.
More help from European NATO countries in the Middle East, and a greater contribution from European countries with respect to Africa, could help to solidify more concrete results on the Global Warming file.
Why is Belinda Stronach, who has no intention of running again, speaking to the issue of African Aid?
The mainstream press needs to seriously consider that a significant minority of Canadians wonder if Global Warming is not hyped up a bit, and don't always believe what world scientists have to say.
The lack of credibility that experts and other professionals have with some Canadians is not the fault of the voter but rather with the loss of confidence in Canadian institutions overall.

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