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U.S. President Trump equals George W. Bush (2004)- Trump triumphs on foreign policy, Israel as 51st State(?) Trump Tweets-& Media-Canada/Mexico =NAFTA
  May 23, 2017

Question #1
Which of the following responses BEST reflects your perception of Donald J. Trump's effort as President to date:
I fully support the efforts of President Trump to date    51 %
I do not support the efforts of President Trump to date    43 %
Question #2
2004 Election Outcome Presidential – George W. Bush [Republican] v John Kerry [Democrat] (Roper Center and Edison Research)
George W. Bush (Republican)    51 %
John Kerry (Democrat)    48 %
Question #3
Would you rate President Trump as Good, Fair, or Poor on Foreign Policy and projecting American strength abroad?
Good    53 %
Fair    17 %
Poor    30 %
Question #4
Would you seriously consider Israel as a 51st State of the United States in a one State solution where both Israeli and Palestinian citizens in that One New State (ONS) - would be permitted to vote in U.S. elections, but where Israel would also remain an Independent and Sovereign nation?
Averaged-”Yes”    40 %
Question #5
Which of the following response choices BEST reflects the particular issue or subject that most attracts your attention, if you had to just pick one?
Foreign Policy, American security, jobs & the economy    45 %
Health Care, Education, Local State and City – Community Gov./public safety    31 %
Issues relating to Immigration and the Wall    15 %
Issues relating to the White House, Trump/Clinton & Others & Russia    8 %
Question #6
Which of the following media-communications (from these offered) do you enjoy most?
The Trump Twitter and Tweets    31 %
Mainstream television, newspaper, radio media    26 %
Alternative media, social media and all other non mainstream media    42 %
Question #7
Which of the United States two partners in the North American Free Trade Agreement, (NAFTA), being Canada and Mexico will (in your opinion) prove to be most difficult for President Trump?
Canada    40 %
Mexico    26 %
Both equally    21 %
Neither    12 %
Commentary
Q #1 (and #2)
President Donald J. Trump has (50.7%) of public support in the United States compared to 51.3% George W. Bush in his re election versus Democrat John Kerry (former Secretary of State) in 2004.
In the 2016 Election for President [53.5%] were against the election of Donald J. Trump. The number against him now is (43.2%) with the balance either Undecided/Can't Answer.
The Decided support for Donald Trump from this RSR ROBBINS study is (55%).
Based on actual support Donald Trump has increased his popular support by (12%), and based on his Decided support is (19%) above Election Day Outcomes (“EDO”).
RSR ROBBINS estimates relative American Voter (AV) 2016 support of is well up from the near 63 million he actually achieved (before statistical adjustments). Adjustments to contributing factors brings Trump's percentage total to (51%) in our opinion.
Donald J. Trump has increased voter support in the Southern States by 3 million, in the Midwest States by 1.0 million in the Eastern States by 640,000 but have lost (3150,000) in the Western States.
Gender:
In the 2004 U.S. Presidential Election between George W. Bush (Republican) and former U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry (Democrat), President Bush, won his second term achieving [51.3%] of the popular vote and [55%] of the male vote.
In our RSR ROBBINS Poll of American Voters (“AV”) current President Trump receives (60%) male support, which I suspect, may be unprecedented. Six of every 10 Male Voters (“MV”) in the United States supports President Trump.
In the 2004 election George W. Bush was supported by [48%] of female voters, while Donald Trump is currently support by (44%).
As between the 2004 Presidential Election and current RSR ROBBINS 'American Voter' opinion of President Trump on gender alone, is a tie between the two as President Trump and former President George W. Bush (from 2004 presidential election).
Race:
[Fifty eight] of White people voted for President George W. Bush. (Sixty one) percent of White American Voters (WAV) currently support President Trump. More than Six in Ten American Whites support Donald J. Trump.
[Eleven percent] of African American Voters (AAV) voted for President George W. Bush, while (9%) currently support President Trump. Less than One in Ten African Americans support Donald J. Trump.
With African Americans removed from the calculations, nearly two thirds of White Americans support Trump. Based on our research for this study – again, with African Americans removed from the calculation President Trump has (55%) support of American Voters, roughly the same as the calculation of his support inclusive of African American Voters.
[Fourty four percent] of Hispanics voted for President George W. Bush, while (40%) currently support President Trump, an increase for Trump over election resulting in (1%) national increase in support for Donald Trump.
[Fourty eight percent] of Asians voted for President George W. Bush, while (48%) currently support President Trump. Fourty percent of “Other” voted for George W. Bush while (43%) support President Trump.
Relatively speaking there are fewer eligible 'White Voters' than there were in 2004 when George W. Bush was re-elected, however there is a higher male population relative to women count from 2004.
Donald Trump has made that difference up.
President Donald Trump has also added from 2016 vote outcomes for Hispanic American Voters (HAV) increasing his total to (40%) in our Study, adding (1%) nationally to his 2016 totals.
This in combination with increased support from the Asian community, and the referenced increased support from White Voters community puts Donald J. Trump post 100 days in his first term on equal footing with former Republican President George W. Bush.
Age:
[43%] of18-24 year old American Voters in the 2004 Presidential Election voted for President George W. Bush, President Trump receives identical support from this age group (43%).
25-29 year olds' voted [forty eight] percent for President Bush while President Trump attracts (51%) support from this age group.
In the 30-39 aged group President Bush received [53%] of the vote, while President Trump attracts (50%) support.
50-64 age group [fifty two percent] President Bush, (52%) President Trump.
65+ [fifty two percent] President Bush with current support at (55%) President Trump.
Region:
The Edison Research for Roper Center Research at Cornell University declared [44%] support from the East for George W. Bush, [51%] support from the Midwest, [58%] from the South and [49%] from the West.
In the East in our RSR ROBBINS 'I Love the World' (TM) poll/survey, President Trump is currently supported by (42%) [2%)- less than President Bush (2004)].
In the Midwest States President Bush received [fifty one percent]. President Trump is now supported by (46%).
Donald Trump is NOW supported by (58%) of American Voters from the Southern States, the same as George W. Bush in 2004. *N.B. - RSR ROBBINS Southern States is featured at higher contributing population and American Voter than in 2004.
George W. Bush was loved in the South.
Currently President Trump is 'very nearly' loved in the South. A transplanted New Yorker turns Southern Gentleman. America's first Rock N Roll President –
In the West States President Bush received [fourty nine percent] of the vote, while President Trump is currently supported by (42%). This represents a national loss estimated @ (1.5%) to Trump relative to George W. Bush, based on our rendition of the Western States contribution to the whole of the calculation, not dissimilar to those in 2004 in the Roper Center Study.
Current support by political party, Independent & (other):
(Thirty three percent) of current American Voters declare themselves to be “Democrats”. (Thirty five) declare themselves “Republicans”, (24%) “Independents” and (8%) declare themselves “Other”.
At the point of President George W. Bush's re-election [37%] were Democrats, [37%] were Republicans and [26%] were Independent.
From 2004 until now the Democrat label has lost (4%), Republicans have lost (2%), while Independents have also lost (2%).
One year ago (spring 2016) this is the outcome of an RSR ROBBINS poll on ideological brands: “Which political party brand best describes you today?” (Response): Democrat-39%; Republican-26%; Independent-22%. In one year the Democrat label is down (6%), the Republican label is up (9%) and Independent label up (2%).
Current support by label ideology:
(Seventeen percent) of Americans support the identity of the label “Liberal”, while (41%) identify with the label “Moderate” and (42%) identify as “Conservatives”. From “W”'s 2004 re election where Liberals identified at [21%], Moderates [46%], Conservatives identified at [34%].
From 2004 until today the Liberal brand is down (4%) or nearly (20%) of total.
In our RSR ROBBINS poll/survey Moderates are down (5%) from 2004, while the Conservative label is up (7%).
Both the President Trump support and Conservative label are enjoying greater popularity, the latter particularly, with this invigorated support at the apparent expense of Liberal, Democrat, Moderate, and Republican brands.
The Conservative label (brand) is seen currently as a 'Cool Brand' with support nearly (80%) of President Trump's overall support. With (91%) of Conservatives supporting the President, and (30%) of Moderates (before adjustments) also supporting President Trump. Two non presidential party labels are able to account for almost all of the President's support.
Ninety percent of Republican supporters, (52%) of Independents, (27%) of “Other” and (2%) of Democrats currently support President Trump.
The Liberal brand has lost (4%) from 2004 to our current study, Moderates have dropped (5%) and Conservatives have increased by (8%).
Donald Trump currently attracts (91%) of Republican support and (93%) of Conservative support. He attracts (55%) of Independents.
Donald Trump attracts support of (33%) of Moderates.
The Roper Study conducted in conjunction with Edison Research reviewed Income and Union Household, something that we did not do.
Vote Total by Region of the United States:
The Roper Study assessed voter contribution by U.S. Region described as “East” [22%], “Midwest” [26%], “South” [32%] & “West” [20%] (George W. Bush totals in parenthesis representing actual contribution by population to overall results based on Exit polling by Edison Research).
In the Edison Research for Roper Center circa [2004], [44%] of “East” voters were President Bush supporters, [51%] were Bush supporters from the Midwest, [58%] from the South, and [49%] from the West.
In our RSR ROBBINS Study we assess percentage of contributing votes by our own regional break down as follows: West (20.82%), Midwest (20.37%), South (39.37%), East (19.67%).
The difference between the two by region reflects different influence by region on current support for President Donald J. Trump as it influence exit poll results from 2004 for former President George W. Bush. In our study the 'East' contribution to the whole has dropped (3.5%), the Midwest significantly (-5.5%), the South contribution has increased very significantly (+6.5%), with the West up nearly (1%).
We did not specifically identify which U.S. States, the Cornell University study at Roper Center, used to designate to one of the four regions, for this RSR ROBBINS Trump poll we provide the following U.S. with examples of population (used in calculations in conjunction with factors of voter eligibility and voter turn out (generally). (This poll does not account for higher turnout among White Voters {which on balance would favour Donald Trump}).
South States:
1. Delaware (945,934); 2. Florida (20.270,000); 3. Georgia (10,210,000); 4. Maryland (6,006.000); 5. 6. North Carolina (10,040,000); 7. South Carolina (4,859,000); 8. Virginia (8,383,000); 9. West Virginia (1,844,000); 10. Alabama (4,859,000); 11. Kentucky (4,425,000); 12. Mississippi (2,992,000); 13. Tennessee (6,660,000); Arkansas (4,859,000); Louisville (4,671,000); Oklahoma (3,911,000); Texas (27,470,000).
We proclaim that Donald J. Trump based on our findings, has increased support in EVERY U.S. State in the South, including noteworthy increases in support from 2016 Election in Texas from [52.2%] to RSR ROBBINS (Texas) not reflecting (59%) support for President Trump. Support in the State of Florida in this Study was discovered to be (54%) up from [48.6%] 2016 Presidential Election total.
This change in status from increased support in these two Southern States alone would increase Trump support well over (1%) nationally.
Midwest States: (Trump Support)
1.Illinois [38.4%]; 2. Indiana [56.5%]; 3. Iowa [51.5%].....and so on (source: New York Times).
RSR ROBBINS realizes the following increases in population support for President Donald Trump (est.): Illinois (up 190K), Iowa (up 100K), Michigan (up 266K), Minnesota (up 50K), Ohio (up 90K)..trending up incrementally.
We proclaim Donald Trump up an estimated (700,000) American Voters from Midwest States used in our RSR ROBBINS Study.
Western States:
We included the following U.S. States under “Western States”:
1. Washington; 2. Oregon; 3. California; 4. Montana; 5. Wyoming; 6. Colorado; 7. New Mexico; 8. Idaho; 9. Arizona; 10 Nevada; 11. Alaska; 12. Hawaii.
Donald Trump overall has not lost or gained support as an aggregate in any of the Western States, but California continues to contribute to a false projection of President Trump's overall and relative support in the country by remaining under [40%] in popular support. The minor losses in California to date (though not helpful) are offset by a gain a (5%) support in Washington State, which although much smaller in population than California, is beginning to see through the cracks of negativity toward President Trump on the basis of much talk by many American Voters, many shocked at the President's early process in foreign policy.
Eastern States:
We included the following U.S. States under “Eastern States”:
Maine, New Hampshire, Vermont, Massachusetts, Rhode Island, Connecticut, New York, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Vermont, Delaware (11).
President Trump support has increased in New York (39%), New Jersey (46%), and Pennsylvania (50%).
Overall:
RSR ROBBINS believes that - based on our proprietorial research and our 20 years of conducting independent private public opinion including the following: National radio declaring George W. Bush the winner prior to the 2004 U.S. presidential election; in February 2008 declaring Barack Obama over Hillary Clinton (as Dem nominee); predicting John McCain from the 'back of the pack' as Republican nominee; predicting Obama President U.S. President (2008); predicting Obama over Romney (Republican) weeks before election (while mainstream had Romney on the rise), predicting Donald Trump's presidential score to within basis points and 1st identifying his viability as Republican nominee-
THAT President Trump has increased the number of Americans who “fully support” him. Trump has increased it but large measure of great success in growing his base in the American Southern States, by more modest measure in the Midwest, nominally in the East, with a slight loss in Western U.S.A.
Estimated increase in American Voter support for President Donald J. Trump: 4,640,000 or an estimated new Total based on American Voter support of 67,624,825.
Based on Trump v Clinton Election Totals (2016), Donald J. Trump (Republican nominee) attracts [48.8%] of that total with Hillary Clinton (Democrat nominee).
Our New Statistical Totals for President Trump as a total of all Voters is (49.63%).
Based on other statistical factors such as the lower number of respondents against Trump based on “fully support” to “do not support”, that support for Donald Trump is at least (51%) on balance of probabilities – and may be higher.
We believe the Liberal and Democrat brands (most associated with the Democratic Party) are down in popularity as brands or labels, that Republican and most particularly Conservative labels and brands are up, and Donald Trump is better than all of them.
Another label -"Moderate"- is higher in support than Liberal, Democrat, Independent and Republican and Trump has his hooks well into this category of label with both Republicans and Conservatives supporting him in unequivocal numbers.
Q #3
During the race for the White House, many Americans likely would have predicted Republican nominee Donald Trump to be one of the last people – who would be proficient in the Art of the Deal on foreign policy. These numbers strongly suggest that even among his detractors, Americans are beginning to wonder if foreign policy is President Trump's greatest strength.
Q #4
A stunning result, given the open ambiguity and huge controversy associated with the question, we predicted a mid 20's to 30% score (at best). The American Voters is looking for solutions going forward including in the Middle East, and they won't stand for failure. Matters pertaining to Israel its relationship to the United States, and issues involving the Middle East – are trying Voters patience, and they won't tolerate grandstanding, wasting time or suffocation of solutions.
This message must be understood most completely.
RSR ROBBINS may be delivering the correct Final Solution – the first, delivered by Evil – this one from our emerging “I Love The World” Foundation (TM).
Q #5
The American public is interested in the same 'Old School' -type things-, only now they have an expectation about them. These include foreign policy-American security, jobs and the economy – issues which attracts the attention of (nearly one in two) respondents. Health Care, Education Local State and City – Community Gov/public safety (a mouthful) attracts nearly (one in three) American Voters.
The American Voter wants laser therapy, not someone gouging their eye open with a soup spoon.
It is beyond me (or any other reasonable person) that, with less than one in 10 American Voters actually caring about the (more recently) Trump Russia matters or any matters relating to Russia, that the mainstream media would invest half of its time on the subject. It comes as no surprise to me that the number of respondents who selected this choice was (17%) in the East and (4%) in the Southern States.
Q #6
We asked this question not anticipating to sell credibility in the normal sense of that word (as it is overly applied) by and toward too many people in political discourse (most from the same Carousel of News Makers – but rather to peddle “enjoyment”. After a hard days work who wants to buy into depressing political news every day. As one Southern respondent offered: “I might reconsider Trump when he is being led off in handcuffs...even then I might still vote for him”.
Q #7
Canada is not going through a good spell right now. As per historical norm Canadian government is going in the opposite direction as American government is. One in two believe Canada “will prove to be most difficult for President Trump. Respondents in the South have a dubious opinion of 'Liberals in Canada', doubt us on our military contributions at NATO (doubt Europeans even more) etc.
What is also interesting is the South also is more upbeat about Mexico as a “difficulty” for President Trump.
American Voters in the East and West, where Trump has lower support are more inclined to believe Mexico and Canada will be of equal difficulty for President Trump.
The Wrap: This is an RSR ROBBINS private public opinion poll/survey combination. It was conducted since April 26, 2017,up and until Saturday, May 20, 2017 involving 8,850 respondents obtained in proportion to our RSR ROBBINS designation of eligible voter by region (and not the allocation in the Roper Center (Cornell University), Edison Research Exit Poll determinations. We are proclaiming these numbers to be (1%) Margin of Error based on the statistical consideration only, but for our own comfort we proclaim the following, that on balance of probability there is likely little chance that President Trump has “full support” from < than (49%) of American Voters, (those who say or we strongly believe voted in the 2016 Presidential Election in the United States of America. This is our Inaugural Study -going forward- with Pollster Glen P. Robbins “I Love The World” Foundation.

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