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RSR ROBBINS Federal Poll of Canadians in British Columbia - A Gift for You Dec 2016 -Most Accurate Pollster in the World
  Dec 19, 2016

Subject matter dealt with in this RSR ROBBINS (America) poll of Canadians - British Columbians:
Q 1 & 2 - Federal Leader and Party support.
Q 3 & 4 - Provincial Leader & Party support
5. Kinder Morgan
6. Christy Clark - Kinder Morgan
7. John Horgan - Kinder Morgan
8. Kiss my Enbridge
9. Aboriginal Interest - Consent or Consult or?
10. Christy Clark/Supreme Court/Canada/BC Education
11. Canada's Constitution - People want change
12. 'The BET' Trump v Trudeau
13. Changing Canadian Voting
14. Banning Corporate Union donations - criminal implications going forward?
15. Put Politicians to Mandated Work Schedule.
16. How serious are BC's real estate problems?
17. Who is to blame for BC's real estate problems? (sub group).
18. What do British Columbians think of real estate market?
19, Revoking MSP Premiums?
20. Public/Private Education - Tell us what you really think.
21. Justin Trudeau Liberals & Marijuana - Where do we Go from here?
22. Poverty, mental health and addiction - where's the dough?

Question #1
Which federal leader and party do you currently support most? (Raw Support)
Justin Trudeau and Liberal Party of Canada    27.45 %
Former B.C. Premier Glen Clark, {now successful biz exec}, and New Democratic Party of Canada (*push)    28.49 %
Quebec Conservative MP leadership candidate Maxime Bernier and Conservative Party of Canada (**Push)    19.46 %
Elizabeth May and Green Party of Canada    8.78 %
Undecided/Can't Answer/Don't Know    14.23 %
Question #2
Which federal leader and party do you currently support most? (Decided support/adjusted to pop/region/other)*+
Justin Trudeau and Liberal Party of Canada    30.31 %
Glen Clark and New Democratic Party of Canada    34.86 %
Maxime Bernier and Conservative Party of Canada    25.32 %
Elizabeth May and Green Party of Canada    10.04 %
Question #3
Which (B.C.) provincial leader and party do you support? (Raw totals)
Christy Clark and BC Liberal Party    34.72 %
John Horgan and BC New Democrats    36.42 %
Andrew Weaver and BC Green Party    8.41 %
Dan Brooks and BC Conservative Party    5.64 %
Undecided/Can't Answer/Don't Know    14.84 %
Question #4
Which provincial leader and party do you support? (Decided Support *with adjustments**(weighted)
Christy Clark and BC Liberal Party    38.71 %
John Horgan and BC New Democrats    42.82 %
Andrew Weaver and BC Green Party    10.65 %
Dan Brooks and BC Conservative Party    7.54 %
Question #5
Do you support the Government of Canada's decision(s) to approve the Kinder Morgan-Trans Canada pipeline expansion through the Lower Mainland of British Columbia, AND further decision to refuse the Enbridge Northern Gateway pipeline to be located in Northern British Columbia? (ONLY “Yes” or “No” to both decisions)
Yes    37.8 %
No    55.1 %
Undecided/Can't Answer/Don't Know    7.2 %
Question #6
What do you believe is BC Liberal leader Christy Clark's position on the decision by Federal Liberal Party leader Justin Trudeau to proceed with the Kinder Morgan pipeline (based on the following response choices)?
I believe Christy Clark is FOR the Kinder Morgan pipeline    46.56 %
I believe Christy Clark is AGAINST the Kinder Morgan pipeline    23.36 %
I am unsure what Christy Clark's position on the Kinder Morgan pipeline decision is    28.58 %
Undecided/Can't Answer    1.23 %
Question #7
What do you believe is BC New Democrat leader John Horgan's position on the decision by Federal Liberal Party leader Justin Trudeau to proceed with the Kinder Morgan pipeline (based on the following response choices)?
I believe John Horgan is FOR the Kinder Morgan pipeline    17.56 %
I believe John Horgan is AGAINST the Kinder Morgan pipeline    55.91 %
I am unsure what John Horgan's position on the Kinder Morgan pipeline decision is    21.84 %
Undecided/Can't Answer    4.76 %
Question #8
Prime Minister Justin Trudeau did not approve the Enbridge pipeline from Edmonton to Northern British Columbia to Port Renfrew on BC's upper west coast, one of the rainiest coastlines in the world. If, instead, the Government of Canada had supported the Northern Enbridge line with condition that a refinery were built with joint federal provincial funding, in order to ensure that crude oil was not being shipped and to add hundreds of new jobs paying over $30 per hour with full benefits, what would your position be on this reversed decision? (“push” question). (Repeat (21%) (Hypothetical only) (Basis points are used in outcomes for emphasis)
I would support a decision to build the northern Enbridge pipeline with refinery jobs and not to build Kinder Morgan pipeline    40.80 %
I would not support a decision to build the northern Enbridge pipeline    38.48 %
I do not support any crude oil pipelines from Alberta being constructed through BC to coast tide waters    19.11 %
Undecided/Can't Answer    1.44 %
Question #9
Which of the following response choices BEST reflects how you perceive indigenous and aboriginal rights as they relate to pipeline approval in the Province of British Columbia?
The Federal Government of Canada and Government of British Columbia should first obtain consent from First Nations groups who have a substantial interest in any of these projects which might impact negatively on ecosystems and aboriginal rights to mainta    29.57 %
Federal and Provincial Governments should properly consult with First Nations in accordance with more recent decisions at the Supreme Court of Canada    50.04 %
Undecided/Don't Know/Can't Answer    21.34 %
Question #10
The Supreme Court of Canada recently released a ruling which stipulated that a 2002 BC Liberal government decision by Christy Clark in her role as Education Minister – and later in 2012 another government decision with Christy Clark as leader and premier – stripping away BC Teacher's rights from contract – was illegal. This 'breaking of the law' by the BC Liberal government is estimated by some to cost BC tax payers $1 billion per year for 14 years. Who in your opinion is most responsible or most to blame for this 'mess'; in BC's Education system? (push – 'editorialized' question for certain) (17% repeat).
Premier Christy Clark    42 %
Christy Clark & BC Liberal government 2001 to present    22 %
BC Teachers    19 %
Supreme Court of Canada & British Columbia lawyers (*response to catch projection of blame)    12 %
Undecided/Don't Know/Can't Answer    4 %
Question #11
Section 9 of the Canadian Constitution “Executive Power” reads “The Executive Government and Authority of and over Canada is hereby declared to contain and be vested in the Queen.” Queen Elizabeth is now 90 years old. In your opinion, when Queen Elizabeth dies which course of action (from the limited response choices offered) should Canada then take?
Change Canada's Constitution to remove the Monarch as Canada's legal head of state, and make other changes including changing the method by which Canadian Senators are made and greater transparency in how Judges are produced    51.21 %
Leave Canada's Constitution the way it is    40.94 %
Undecided/Don't Know/Can't Answer    7.75 %
Question #12
If you were provided with $100 to 'bet' with knowledge that a correct bet would return $1,000, who would you 'bet' will create more full time employment in New Year 2017? (Entertainment Question – “EQ ROBBINS”).
U.S. President-Election Trump    47.32 %
Canadian Prime Minister Trudeau    25.34 %
Undecided/Don't Know/Can't Answer    26.75 %
Question #13
Would you support a national referendum in Canada to be held October 2017 requiring 50% + 1 of Canadians participation to be valid, & asking Canadians whether or not, they would support, making changes to the current method system of voting in Canada?
Yes    52.44 %
No    33.32 %
Undecided/Don't Know/Can't Answer    13.71 %
Question #14
Would you support a legislated ban on all corporate and union donations in British Columbia politics including within the general ban, a specific ban of any donations from persons or parties resident outside the Province to be referenced as an action in contempt of the Legislature?
Yes    74.33 %
No    23.11 %
Undecided/Don't Know/Can't Answer    2.41 %
Question #15
In your opinion should it be mandated by law that British Columbia hold two legislative sessions each year, one in the fall and one in the spring as a matter of the public interest?
Yes    73.44 %
No    18.63 %
Undecided    7.34 %
Question #16
In your opinion are there serious problems in British Columbia real estate market? (push question-better if either serious is removed as describing the problem or various degrees of problem response are offered)
Yes    66 %
No    16 %
Undecided/Don't Know/Can't Answer    17 %
Question #17
(To the 66% “Yes”) From the list of response choices selected for you to choose from, which BEST depicts who is MOST to blame for the serious problems in British Columbia's real estate market? (response options are not scientific in context of one to the other)
“Crooked” Chinese/Asian Foreign investors    38.71 %
Poor BC Liberal regulation of real estate agents, investment 'and other negligence' by BC Liberal government    25.82 %
Poor federal regulation of Interest Rates and other negligence by Trudeau/Harper governments    20.49 %
U.S. style sub prime mortgage fraud involving: BC Mortgage Brokers/Lenders, BC lawyers, courts and BC Liberal Caucus    6.99 %
Money laundering, greed and fraud/failure to police white collar fraud by RCMP    8.24 %
Question #18
(To all respondents) Where in your opinion are real estate values heading in 2017 from response choices offered: (Response Bias – (35%) if offered as the highest value decrease while (25%) is the highest upside & alternatively 10% lower percentage uptick than to “15-25%” the lowest on the opposite type response choice).
Real Estate values are going to go down more than 35% in 2017    29.33 %
Real Estate values are going to do down between 15-25% in 2017    47.54 %
Real Estate values are going to go up more than 10% in 2017    17.18 %
Real Estate values are going to up more than 25% in 2017    1.35 %
Question #19
Should all BC Medical/MSP Premiums be revoked and health services be provided to all British Columbians' “free of charge”?
Yes    56.93 %
No    23.46 %
Undecided    19.22 %
Question #20
Do you agree or disagree with this proposal. I believe that tax dollars for education should go to public schools ONLY with no money from the British Columbia government going to private schools including religious and Independent schools? (Bias presentation, prejudicial to “private schools including religious and Independent schools”).
Agree    48.5 %
Disagree    36 %
Question #21
How important is it to you that Prime Minister Justin Trudeau take action, sooner than later, to deal with the matter of changing current Canadian laws relating to marijuana, including passing laws to make marijuana legal to sell through proper legal regulatory structure, after receiving feedback from the Attorney(s) General of various United States located along the Canadian border?
Very Important    23.81 %
Important    33.49 %
Unimportant    31.34 %
Very Unimportant    8.64 %
Undecided    2.14 %
Question #22
How important is it to you that both federal and provincial governments work to find more resources for matters relating to poverty, mental health and addiction?--
Very Important    58.75 %
Important    22.62 %
Unimportant    1.81 %
Very Unimportant    1.76 %
Undecided    14.75 %
Commentary
Q 1 & 2- The results of the 2015 federal election in the Province of British Columbia were as follows: Liberals 35.2%; New Democrats 25.9%; Conservatives 30%; Greens 8.2%
By measure of raw support Justin Trudeau and federal Liberal Party are down > (20%), while Glen Clarke and federal Democratic Party are up (10%). Maxime Bernier and federal Conservative Party are down (30%) while Elizabeth May and federal Green Party are up (13%).
Based on raw leader and party support as provided for federal New Democrats and Greens are trending up while federal Liberals and Conservatives are trending down from BC outcomes for leader and party based on the October 2015 federal general election.
Based on decided leader and party support Justin Trudeau and federal Liberals are down (13%) from 2015 Election totals, while Glen Clarke and federal New Democrats are up (32%), Maxime Bernier and Conservatives are down (20%) while Elizabeth May et al 'is' up (30%).
Based on adjusted (weighted) numbers for federal leader and party New Democrats and Greens are trending up while federal Liberals and Conservatives are trending down.
With outcomes provided to the reader from regional outcomes in the province similar to that established in Wikipedia, Justin Trudeau and Liberals score as follows: In BC's North and Interior (27%), in Fraser Valley and Surrey (Delta) (36%), in Vancouver City and Lower Mainland including (but not limited to) Burnaby, Coquitlam, New Westminster, Port Moody, Port Coquitlam, North Shore Vancouver, & Vancouver Coast (28%), in Vancouver Island (13%).
Former BC Premier Glen Clark and New Democratic Party of Canada scores as follows: BC North and Interior (27%) {tied with Trudeau et al}; Fraser Valley and Surrey (24%) {Trudeau up by 12%}; Vancouver City and Lower Mainland (34%) {Glen Clark beats Trudeau by 6%}; Vancouver Island (42%) {Glen Clark beats Trudeau by (29%)}.
Quebec Conservative MP-leadership candidate Maxime Bernier and Conservative Party of Canada – BC North & Interior (26%) {pretty close to tie with G. Clark and J. Trudeau}; Fraser Valley & Surrey (34%) {pretty close to Trudeau}; Vancouver City & Lower Mainland (19%) {where Conservatives fall down}; Vancouver Island (16%) {low score like Trudeau}.
Elizabeth May and Green Party of Canada BC North and Interior (7%); Fraser Valley & Surrey (5%); Vancouver & Lower Mainland (8%); Vancouver Island (23%).
The Liberal Party of Canada has achieved historical electoral support in the Province of British Columbia as follows (by percent): 1968 -41.8%, 1972 – 28.9%, 1974 – 33.8%, 1979 – 23%, 1980 – 22.2%, 1984 – 16.4%, 1988 – 20.4%, 1993 – 28.1%, 1997 – 28.8%, 2000 – 27.7%, 2004 – 28.6%, 2006 – 27.6%, 2011 – 13.4%, 2015 – 35.2%. Average electoral achievement 1968 – 2015 -26.85%.
Support in RSR ROBBINS (America) poll by leader and party (age group) (decided/weighted to outcomes for (%) of each age group): Justin Trudeau and Liberal Party of Canada (age 20-24) = (32%); (age 25-29) = (34%); (age 30-34) = (32%); (age 35-39) = (30%); (age 40-44) = (31%); (age 45-49) = (31%); (age 50-54) = (28%); (age 55-59) = (27%); (age 60-64) = (28%) (age 65-69) = (26%); (age 70-74) (25%); (age 75-79) = (23%). Percentage total support by age group beginning at age 20-24
By age group Glen Clark and New Democratic Party of Canada (age 20-24) = (35%); (age 25-29) = (31%); (age 30-34) = (30%); (age 35-39) = (31%); (age 40-44) = (32%); (age 45-49) = (32%); (age 50-54) = (29%); (age 55-59) = (28%); (age 60-64) = (30%); (age 65-69) = (29%); (age 70-74) = (24%); (age 75-79) = (25%).
By age group Maxime Bernier and Conservative Party of Canada (age 20-24) = (11%); (age 25-29) = (12%); (age 30-34) = (24%); (age 35-39) = (22%); (age 40- 44) = (24%); (age 45-49) = (23%); (age 50-54) = (24%); (age 55-59) = (25%); (age 60-64) = (26%); (age 65-69) = (25%); (age 70-74) = (28%); (age 75-79) = (26%).
By age group Elizabeth May and Green Party of Canada (age 20-24) = (18%); (age 25-29) = (15%); (age 30-34) = (12%); (age 35-39) = (9%); (age 40-44) = (8%); (age 45-49) = (7%); (age 50-54) = (7%); (age 55-59) = (10%); (age 60-64) = (7%); (age 65-69) = (6%); (age 70-74) = (2%); (age 75-79) (0%).
Through the younger age groups (20-34) Justin Trudeau and Liberals average (33%), Glen Clark and New Democrats (32%), Maxime Bernier and Conservatives (16%), Elizabeth May and Greens (14%). Through the most vote rich age groups (35-54) Glen Clark and federal New Democrats = (31%), Justin Trudeau and Liberals = (30%), Maxime Bernier and Conservatives (23%) & Elizabeth May and Greens (8%).
The the senior age groups (55-79) Glen Clark and New Democrats = (27%), Justin Trudeau and Liberals (26%), Maxime Bernier and Conservatives (26%), Elizabeth May and Greens (6%).
Q 3 & 4 -In “Raw” support Christy Clark and BC Liberals are down (19%), while John Horgan and BC New Democrats are down (8%). In Decided support Christy Clark and BC Liberals are down (9%), while John Horgan and New Democrats are up (8%). Andrew Weaver and Green Party are up very slightly in Raw support and up (17%) in Decided support. (*all numbers assume 85 candidates – BC Green ran 61 and BC Conservatives ran 49 candidates).
{This would impact on overall percentages of support for BC Green Party and BC Conservative parties. In this poll this would reduce BC Green outcome to (7.08%) and BC Conservatives to (4.38%). Given the lack of funding for BC Greens and Conservatives relative to the BC Liberals and BC New Democrats all things being equal I would assess BC Greens at (8%) and BC Conservatives at (5%)}.
In head to head battle John Horgan and BC New Democrats score (32%) in BC's North and Interior while Christy Clark and BC Liberals score (38%), both scores higher than any of the leading scores for federal politicians in BC's North & Interior. In Fraser Valley & Surrey John Horgan and New Democrats score (38%) while Christy Clark scores (43%).
Christy Clark leads all leaders and party in the Fraser Valley & Surrey.
In the most populous region of Vancouver City and Lower Mainland suburbs John Horgan enjoys (40%) while Christy Clark and BC Liberals scores (35%). Once again both Horgan and Clark - - BC NDP and Liberal score higher in popular support than federal politicians with Federal NDP choice Glen Clark tucked nicely in behind Christy Clark. Which Clark is which
On Vancouver Island the BC NDP (like the federal New Democrats) are well ahead of all other leaders and parties @ (48%), with BC NDP gaining their slight popular advantage over Christy Clark as a consequence of her low support here (24%). Andrew Weaver and BC Greens score (3%) in BC's North and Interior, (4%) in Fraser Valley & Surrey, (12%) in Vancouver and Lower Mainland and (23%) on Vancouver Island.
Will BC New Democrat leader John Horgan be able to tap into some of the Andrew Weaver (12%) in Vancouver and the Lower Mainland during the strife and protest that will occur over Kinder Morgan in the run up to the provincial election? With a 5 point lead in Vancouver and Lower Mainland (up to Surrey) a melting of many Greens into the New Democrat fabric would be a winning formula for certain
Q 5-6-7-8 - On the question of the Justin Trudeau and Federal Liberal Party of Canada decision on Kinder Morgan (“Yes”) AND Enbridge pipeline in the North & Interior of the Province (“No”), and support for these decisions “Yes” (Trudeau)/Kinder Morgan, scores (37%), {7%} higher than support Trudeau and Liberals achieved in 2015 federal general election in the Province of British Columbia and nearly (20%) more than the current support for PM Trudeau in B.C.
(50%) of respondents in the North & Interior indicated they did not support these two (2) decisions (“No”).
In Fraser Valley & Surrey “Yes” scores (51%) while “No” scores (39%). Once again, Trudeau decision on the pipelines scores much higher than his and his party's popular support. In Vancouver and Lower Mainland Suburbs (36%) respond “Yes” while (53%) says “No”, while on Vancouver Island (18%) scores “Yes” and (73%) say “No”. *Anecdote suggests that in the North and Interior of the Province the lower “Yes” may be a response to “No” Enbridge, and (perhaps) some of the support in Fraser Valley & Surrey “Yes” may be to not approving both (the “compromise”).
Q 9 - A noteworthy minority of British Columbians' are of the view that both levels of government should acquire consent from First Nations groups on pipeline matters, while a majority clear believe that First Nations should be properly consulted.
This is interesting – (38%) of Trudeau Liberals support Fed & Prov government getting “consent” from First Nations, while Glen Clark New Democrats attract (32%) to this response choice. Conservatives are lowest at (10%) while Greens are highest at (72%). Trudeau Liberals score (55%) on “Consult” support while (61%) of Glen Clark New Democrats supports “Consult”, (55%) of Conservatives support “Consult” and (15%) of federal Greens support “Consult”.
A considerable majority of British Columbians' see First Nations in BC as having a major say on pipeline issues with many of those respondents believing that consent should be obtained.
Q 10 - This question reveals a solid percentage of 5 response choice options blaming Christy Clark or the BC Liberal government (63.4%) {(R)random {“R”} = (40%), {ex Undecided (50%)}, suggesting that on this issue Christy Clark and BC Liberals are (58.5%) to (26.8%) above {“R”} averaged @ (42.6%) (above {“R”}.
Q 11 - Canada's government continues to have problems with the Constitution, something that has been building momentum for some time, in particular as it concerns Senate appointments – and allegations that Justin Trudeau has not operated in good faith relating to his claims that Liberals are Senate. (32%) of Trudeau supporters agree with change to the Constitution as described, (77%) of federal New Democrats support this change, while (48%) of Conservatives and (78%) of BC Greens want this change.
The mainstream press has insisted that Canadians don't want to talk Constitutional change, but this RSR ROBBINS polls of British Columbian's SERIOUSLY contradicts this position.(52%) of Liberals say “No” to changing the Constitution, while (31%) of New Democrats also say No to changing the Constitution – as do (44%) of Conservatives and (18%) of BC Greens. It is worth noting that the Undecided percentage is relatively low in this question.
Q 12 - (78%) of Maxime Bernier and Conservative supporters, (51%) of New Democrat supporters, (32%) of Liberal supporters, and (38%) of Federal Green supporters are willing to “bet” against Prime Minister Trudeau and “bet” on U.S President-Elect in our question relating to who can create the most “full time actual employment” in 2017. (46%) of Trudeau/Liberal supporters believe that PM Trudeau will create more jobs along with (21%) of federal New Democrats, (5%) of Conservative supporters and (22%) of federal Greens
Q 13 - (66%) of Glen Clark New Democrats, (50%) of Maxime Bernier Conservative supporters, (34%) of Federal Liberals and (91%) of Elizabeth May Greens support a national referendum on changing voting methods in Canada.
Q 14 - (47%) of Christy Clark Liberals answered “No”, while (63%) of Trudeau Liberals answered “Yes”. (94%) of John Horgan New Democrats answered “Yes” while (90%) of Glen Clark New Democrats answered “Yes”. (63%) of Maxime Bernier Conservatives responded “Yes”, while (86%) of Dan Brooks Conservatives answered “Yes”. (98%) of Elizabeth May Greens answered “Yes” while (88%) of Andrew Weaver Greens answered “Yes”*. This seems pretty straightforward.
Q 15 - “Yes” BC New Democrats (82%), BC Greens (91%), BC Conservatives (84%), BC Liberals (53%). “No” BC New Democrats (11%), BC Greens (2%), BC Conservatives (14%), BC Liberals (36%)
Q 16 - Christy Clark BC Liberals (64%), John Horgan BC NDP (76%), Andrew Weaver BC Green (80%) Dan Brooks BC Conservatives (72%); Christy Clark BC Liberals (30%), John Horgan BC NDP (7%), Andrew Weaver BC Green (5%), Dan Brooks BC Conservatives (21%)
Q 17 - “Crooked Chinese/Asian Foreign investors” response attracts the MOST blame with nearly 4/10 British Columbians. “Money laundering, greed and fraud/failure to police white collar fraud by RCMP” could include “Crooked Chinese/Asian investors” in combined form could take total support along this line of blame to nearly one in 2. “Poor BC Liberal regulation – stitched to “real estate agents, investment....and other negligence by BC Liberal government”...names the BC Liberals twice and attracts more than one in four blame. This response choice can be tied to “Poor Federal regulation of Interest Rates and other negligence by Trudeau/Harper governments – a stitching of both federal governments also heads toward 50% support.
The “U.S. style sub prime mortgage fraud involving: BC Mortgage Brokers/Lenders, BC lawyers, courts and BC Liberal Caucus” puts the blame (and reference of fraud) on BC Institutions with inference to the Criminal Code. There is no Undecided among the (66%) “Yes” suggesting that upwards of 7/10 British Columbians' can be convinced that the brands referenced are to blame for the real estate problem (which a clear majority of British Columbians' believe is a problem).
Q 19 - “Yes” Federal Liberals (52%), BC Liberals (32%), Federal New Democrats (87%), BC New Democrats (92%), Federal Conservatives (41%), BC Conservatives (48%), Federal Greens (74%), BC Greens (71%). High to Low: BC New Democrats (92%), Federal New Democrats (87%), Federal Greens (74%), BC Greens (71%) Federal Liberals (52%), BC Conservatives (48%), Federal Conservatives (41%), BC Liberals (32%). Average from Median ((71%) + (52%)) = (61%).
Q 20 - “Agree” BC Liberal (17%), Federal Liberal (44%), BC/Federal New Democrat avg (76%), BC/Federal Green avg (78%), BC/Federal Conservative avg (27%).
Q 22 - (55%) of Trudeau Liberals, (44%) of Maxime Bernier and Conservatives, (81%) of Glen Clark & New Democrats, (88%) of Elizabeth May and Greens assert “more resources for matters relating to poverty, mental health and addiction” as being “Very Important”.
This RSR ROBBINS (America) poll was conducted December 7 to December 17, 2016. The Margin of Error is (2.58%) plus or minus.

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