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RSR ROBBINS - Most Accurate Pollster in the World - Trudeau Liberals popular support reaches (47%)
Hush - Deep Purple  Dec 14, 2015

Question #1
Which political leader and party from the party do you currently support (%'s to 100% before Undecided):
Justin Trudeau and Liberal Party of Canada    47 %
Rona Ambrose and Conservative Party of Canada    24.5 %
Tom Mulcair and New Democratic Party of Canada    22.5 %
Elizabeth May and Green Party of Canada    2.5 %
New Leader and Bloc Quebecois Party    4 %
(Undecided)    3% %
Question #2
Which of the following policy initiatives is most important to you at this time?
Solving Global Warming    24.32 %
Helping Syrian refugees come to Canada    18.91 %
Inquiry into Missing and Murdered Aboriginal Women    20.7 %
Responding to Supreme Court of Canada directives on assisted suicide legislation    13.51 %
Making marijuana available for legal purchase    13.32 %
Undecided/No Opinion/Unsure/Can't Answer    9.74 %
Question #3
According to recent news reports the new Liberal majority government is actually facing a budget with $6 billion less than the Conservative government announced was in the treasury last April 2015. The Trudeau Liberals promised deficit spending on infrastructure and other to help the economy in the amount of $10 billion per year. Assuming the aforementioned $6 billion reported is accurate would you now support deficit spending in the amount of $16 billion per year?
Yes    63.4 %
No    29.6 %
Question #4
Do you generally support the objective of bringing 25,000 Syrian refugees to Canada within a 3-6 month period?
Yes    60.62 %
No    29.75 %
Question #5
Over the next year do you expect that real estate prices where you live will increase, decrease or stay about the same?
Increase    16.3 %
Decrease    47 %
Stay about the Same    22.2 %
Undecided/Can't Answer    17.1 %
Question #6
According to an article written by Elizabeth Thompson of iPOLITICS, a petition by political action group LeadNow asks that PM Justin Trudeau cancel 49 political appointments made by Stephen Harper near the end of his time in office of Conservative insiders to important Boards and agencies including the National Energy Board. Should Justin Trudeau cancel or honour these appointments?
Cancel    70 %
Honour    22 %
Question #7
(To those respondents who answered Yes in Q#6) Should Justin Trudeau pay compensation to those persons whose Stephen Harper appointments are canceled?)
Yes    4 %
No    96 %
Commentary
Support for Justin Trudeau and Liberal Party of Canada by province (decided basis): BC (Vancouver) (44%), Alberta (Calgary, Edmonton) (32%), Saskatchewan (General) (29%), Manitoba (Winnipeg) (48%), Ontario (Toronto, Ottawa, Mississauga, Brampton, Hamilton (48%), Quebec (Montreal) (40%), Atlantic Provinces (General) (56%).
Support for Tom Mulcair and New Democratic Party of Canada by province: BC (25%), Alberta (19%), Saskatchewan (24%), Manitoba (24%), Ontario (18%), Quebec (24%), Atlantic Provinces (24%).
Support for Rona Ambrose and Conservative Party of Canada by province: BC (21%), Alberta (43%), Saskatchewan (44%), Manitoba (19%), Ontario (25%), Quebec (8%), Atlantic Provinces (17%).
Support for 25,000 Syrian refugees coming to Canada in 3-6 months period (decided basis): Justin Trudeau and Liberal Party of Canada (79%), Tom Mulcair and New Democratic Party of Canada (63%) Rona Ambrose and Conservative Party of Canada (30%), Green Party (74%) and Bloc Quebecois Party (37%)
Support for increase to budget deficit from $10 billion to $16 billion by leader and political party (decided basis): Justin Trudeau and Liberal Party of Canada (81%), Tom Mulcair and New Democratic Party of Canada (82%), Rona Ambrose and Conservative Party of Canada (16%). Green Party and Bloc Quebecois Party (74%).
A (decided) majority of Canadians (56%) living in the countries largest cities are of the opinion that housing prices will decline over the next year.
(70%) of Canadians do not want Justin Trudeau to honour last minute political appointments made by outgoing Stephen Harper and over (90%) of THESE Canadians do not want any compensation paid to these people.
Justin Trudeau and Liberals support continues to grow significantly following the federal general election of October 19, 2015 from just under 40% on October 19, 2015 to (47%) throughout Canada's largest cities at December 14th, 2015. This support increase is most noteworthy among respondents in British Columbia, Ontario, Quebec and Manitoba.
With the toppling of Conservative leader Stephen Harper post Election support for the Conservative Party is showing itself down nearly (8%) or one quarter of its Election totals. Tom Mulcair and New Democrats have realized a bump from election outcomes above (20%) within proximity to the Conservative support.
Question #2 support for various social policy initiatives is interesting. Global Warming is the most popular, however support for the Inquiry of missing and murdered aboriginal women is actually higher than support for Syrian refugees. Women respondents as a percentage are more willing to support this Inquiry than the Syrian refugees. Women are also more inclined to support assisted suicide (56%), while men are more inclined to support making marijuana legal for purchase (62%).
Question 3 suggests the New Year will be bringing some extreme political theater to the Canadian House of Commons particularly relating to the budget. Disputes about the accuracy of the Conservative budget from April 2015 four months prior to the commencement of the recent federal election beg the question – was the Conservative budget $6 billion off – and if this is so - does this raise the need for the Liberal government to increase the annual deficit projections from the $10 billion amount suggested during the recent Election?
According to two thirds of Canadians it does. A clear majority of Liberal and New Democratic Party supporters are willing to underwrite higher deficits and approve the amounts in tandem. Green and Bloc Quebecois supporters support the increase to budget deficits, while only one in six Conservatives are willing to support the increased budget deficit. The Conservatives will be isolated at budget time.
Canadians have taken on significant personal debt while Conservative budgets appear to retrospect to have been achieved as they were on the backs of Canadian personal debt and lack of proper payments of entitlements horded for other ventures such as Bond purchases in China while properly intended to be paid to Canadians. There seems to have been a lot of odd business around Conservative budget financing and the tax payers books in general – expect a lot to come of this in the early days of 2016.
NDP leader Tom Mulcair has a decision to make. Canadians supporting his party are in lockstep with Liberal policy on the budget including adding amounts to the $10 million amount by the Liberal Party during the Election. If he supports the Liberal budget he will be admitting that his decision to announce NDP fiscal intentions to balance the budget during the Election was a mistake and likely hurt his party resulting in a major decline in popular vote and seats in the House of Commons. Yet, if he does not, he will certainly be facing an internal mutiny from party members.
The Conservatives are pinched somewhat – the vast majority of their party's supporters are against the prospect of the larger budget deficit proposed by the poll question. Anecdote would suggest most of these supporters are against ANY budget deficit. However a minority of supporters remaining with the party do support the budget deficits – some, understanding deficits under the popular Liberals are inevitable while some of the new support the Liberal Party has attracted since the Election appear divided over the budget deficits or at least the increase from $10 billion to $16 billion. Will Conservatives try to negotiate over the numbers or will they remain in stone cold denial going forward?
The vast majority of Liberals, New Democrats and Greens (but not all) support the bringing of the 25,000 referenced within a reasonable time period. A noteworthy minority of Conservatives are onside with the proposal but only a noteworthy minority of Bloc Quebecois supporters give support.
[A Canadian poll produced by Forum Research published December 10, 2015 by CBC News December 10, 2015 suggests support is at 48% with 44% of respondents opposed or 52% decided support. Our RSR Research poll likely asks the question more appropriately: Do you generally support the object of bringing 25,000 Syrian refugees to Canada within a 3-6 month period? (RSR Robbins) compared to Forum Research's question: Do you support the government's plan to bring thousands of refugees to Canada in the next few months? (Although Forum is more accurate to government statements in terms of the time period – [we extended to six months] to see what response support was for the endeavour “generally”. Where the Forum question is fragile in our opinion is in its reference to thousands of refugees – infusing a sense of disorder or lack of planning to the endeavour).
Our RSR Robbins numbers in support of the Syrian refugee rescue at 60% or better (decided) supported by numbers obtained from question #2 where support for Syrian refugees is put in context of relative “importance” to other social policy initiatives on the government's table. Predicated on response outcome to random (inclusive of Undecided as an response option) support for “Helping Syrian refugees come to Canada” attracts (21%) decided support relative to other response choices of “importance”. This number cross multiplied to the random percentage of (16.6666%) and then calculated to one half (50/50) of the percentage over 100% (sic) provides a manipulated support response in isolation to other response choices to (56.5%) which affected this number by attractive responses away from it.
Our RSR Robbins manipulated outcome of (56.5%) compares favourably to Forum Research's 52% support. The higher amount achieved in our actual question of nearly two in three decided may be affected by the following factors: (1) A preceding question referred to it and was included with other social policy initiatives; (2) we included a specific number of refugee total consistent with mainstream press announcements (rather than the thousands of refugees reference); and (3) we clearly added another 3 months to the (already) extended announced period of 3 months which may have been perceived as more realistic to Canadians who want the job done – but it want it done well].
(56%) of decided Canadians residing in the 10 largest cities (and other) expect a decrease in the price of real estate in the country over the next year. Nearly 3 to 1 anticipate a decrease to an increase to house prices. This would contrast completely the predictions of continued real estate values heavily promoted in media in some cities particular Vancouver, British Columbia.
Federal Liberal finance minister Bill Morneau believes the new Liberal policy increase minimum down payments on house purchases may help to stabilize the housing market. The problem isn't likely only about speculation in the housing market, but it sends the appropriate message from Ottawa that there are concerns.
Unconscionable and fraudulent mortgages supported by Canadian charter banks and provincial government policy from Victoria to Toronto, asset speculation by Asian buyers, and massive Canadian debt accrued through the Harper period are also set to cause a softening of the market particular in light of decreasing demand from pockets largely fueling the price increases.
Speaking of political bombs – Justin Trudeau has a difficult choice to make regarding Stephen Harper's last minute political appointments to Crown Corporations, Agencies and others His government has hinted at denying the appointments including those to the National Energy Board. However, Canadians not only want the appointment denied but also don't want any compensation paid.
The Senate scandal, Canadians fed up with the appointment process and concentration of power want accountability including in the making of justices. If Trudeau lets Stephen Harper's 11th hour appointments to his friends go through – the blow back from many corners of the country will overshadow the hard work he is currently doing, and paying off the hostage taking will not be accepted any better by Canadians.
An RSR ROBBINS poll of 1,833 Canadians conducted November 27, 2015 to December 11, 2015 undertaken in the following Canadian cities (and other) [from 2011 census by largest population]: *(1) Toronto, Ontario (2.6 million), (2) Montreal, Quebec (1.7 million), (3) Calgary, Alberta (1.1 million), (4) Ottawa, Ontario (900 K), (5) Edmonton, Alberta (800 K), (6) Mississauga, Ontario (700 K), (7) Winnipeg, Manitoba (650 K), (8) Vancouver, British Columbia (600 K), (9) Brampton, Ontario (500 K), (10) Hamilton, Ontario (500 K). {*Outcomes adjusted to provincial population totals). (*Other Canadian cities used particularly in Saskatchewan and Atlantic Provinces). Margin of error is 2.3% plus or minus – telephone sample – average age estimated at 44 years of age. Adjusted to meet gender percentages by province.

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