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RSR ROBBINS Survey - Hillary Clinton (Democrat) versus Marco Rubio (Republican), plus: Pres Obama, Racism USA, Global Warming, Marijuana/Alcohol USA.
  Jun 27, 2015

Former First Lady, Senator, and Secretary of State and Democratic Party candidate for President Hillary Clinton leader earns a slight lead over Florida Senator and Republican candidate for President Marco Rubio in this RSR ROBBINS survey of American Electors from the 2012 election based on 7 States which possess highest numbers of Electoral College Electors (“ECE”).
Generally Mrs. Clinton’s lead is derived from much higher support she receives from the New York State.
In terms of ethnic voter support, Ms. Clinton's slight lead comes from two primary (overall) sources, Caucasians (1.7%), African American (3.6%), while her deficits occur among Hispanic Latino voters (-1.5%). and Asians (2.5%). The additional advantage reflected in outcomes comes from the category of “Other” and adjustments for gender.
Nearly nine in 10 respondents are “very familiar” with Hillary Clinton as a political force in United States politics while just over 5 in ten are “very familiar” with who Marco Rubio is.
Support for Hillary Clinton is (49.5%) (Adjusted) relative to her familiarity among voters, while Marco Rubio's familiarity ratio is (78.5%) (Adjusted).
Thirty two percent of African American Electors from 2012 are very familiar with Marco Rubio while (61%) are not. (56%) of Caucasian voters are “very familiar” with Marco Rubio while (51%) of Hispanic voters are very familiar with him (“as a political force in US politics”).
A conspicuous majority of American Electors are of the opinion that racism remains a problem in the United States. (82%) of African Americans, (65%) of Hispanic Latinos see it as a problem and (60%) of Caucasians see racism as a problem.
(62%) of Caucasian respondents see Global Warming as a problem, while (56%) of Hispanic Latinos and (54%) of African Americans see Global Warming as a problem.
A clear consensus of (decided) American Electors agree that marijuana is no worse than alcohol @ (57%). By ethnic classification for both sexes and respondents who DISAGREE with the statement (42.5%) of Caucasians are of the opinion DISAGREE with the statement, (36%) of African Americans DISAGREE, (36%) of Hispanics DISAGREE and (27%) of Asians DISAGREE.

Question #1
All in all, how would you characterize President Barack Obama’s performance based upon the two response choices offered?
Very Good    43 %
Very Poor    31 %
Question #2
Of the following two candidates offered to be the next President of the United States which one, if you had only these two to choose from, would you select for President?
Hillary Clinton, Democrat    44 %
Marco Rubio, Republican    41.5 %
Question #3
How familiar are you with the name Hillary Clinton as a political force in US politics?
Very Familiar    89 %
Not Very Familiar    11 %
Question #4
How familiar are you with the name Marco Rubio as a political force in US politics?
Very Familiar    54 %
Not Very Familiar    46 %
Question #5
Is racism a problem in the United States of America?
Yes    58 %
No    29 %
Question #6
Is Global Warming a problem requiring immediate attention?
Yes    57 %
No    33 %
Question #7
Do you agree or disagree with this statement? It is my opinion that marijuana is no worse than alcohol.
Agree    49.5 %
Disagree    35 %
Commentary
President Obama does well in this assessment of his presidential performance used as a survey baseline- to the subsequent questions offered to American Electors. Although the selection of the “very good” response for President Obama is well below the 51% (who supported him in both 2008 and 2012), it is well above the number of those ‘American Electors’ who believe his presidency has been “very poor”. Fifty eight percent of respondents of (74%) overall who made a response selection rated President Obama’s performance as “very good”.
African Americans, Latinos and Asian American ‘Electors’ characterized his presidency as “very good” by higher margin than average (51.5%), while Caucasian voters who selected the “very good” response were just less than (40%).
Twenty six percent of African American, Latino and Asian American characterize President Obama’s as “very poor” while just under (40%) of Caucasian \American Electors see his presidential performance as “very poor”.’
Hillary Clinton Democrat receives more support than Marco Rubio Republican, only slightly higher than the statistical margin of just over (2%). However, the overall by Mrs. Clinton is based on the wide majority of her support in New York State.
Overall, Mrs. Clinton receives over (51%) of decided support while Marco Rubio receives just under (49%).
Marco Rubio Republican is not as familiar to American Voters as Hillary Clinton is. Does this present an advantage or disadvantage to either candidate?
It is clear that American Voters are of the opinion that racism is a problem. A clear majority are of the opinion NOW (by clear majority) that Global Warming is also a problem.
A majority of (decided) American Voters are of the opinion that marijuana is no worse than alcohol however there is not a consensus.
What we can derive from this RSR Survey of American Electors is the following: Visible minorities in the United States were responsible for electing Barack Obama president, twice. Minorities clearly are of the opinion he did a “very good” job while Caucasians were split on the subject.
Hillary Clinton and Mario Rubio split minority votes, with former First Lady and Secretary of State Clinton receiving more African American support and Florida Senator Marco Rubio receiving more Hispanic support. Mrs. Clinton achieves slightly higher support among Caucasian voters than Marco Rubio particularly among Women American Electors (“WAE”).
It is interesting that a candidate for President with a clear history on foreign policy and political experience would be in such close contest with a junior Senator with very little national or international experience.
(Does this have anything to do with the fact that some people are calling Marco Rubio the Republican John Kennedy)?
After two terms of Barack Obama as President of the United States it appears from this RSR ROBBINS Survey that a majority of decided Americans see his effort in a relatively positive light, which might seem to contradict many polls of late (albeit with different questions asked and response choices provided).
Is it possible that Marco Rubio’s own success against Hillary Clinton in this RSR Survey is based on the fact that he too is a minority seeking office of the President, or is the popular Clinton name about to be challenged by the desire of an element of American Voters to elect a President from the Republican Party after two terms of Democrats in office?
Nearly one year ago RSR ROBBINS surveyed Mrs. Clinton versus Republican candidate Jeb Bush who had at that time not declared his candidacy for the Republican nomination. Hillary Clinton received nearly six percent more than Jeb Bush at that time.
In this survey one year later, Republican candidate Marco Rubio takes an element of African American votes once possessed by Barack Obama, as well as a vast swath of Hispanic voters. Asian voters are also backing Republican Rubio by a noteworthy majority over Democrat Clinton.
Here is where some important differences between Hillary Clinton and Marco Rubio exist among the issues canvassed in this RSR ROBBINS survey. Seventy eight percent of respondents who support Hillary Clinton believe racism is a problem while (55%) of Marco Rubio supporters see racism as a problem. Seventy three percent of Clinton supporters believe global warming is a problem requiring immediate attention while (48%) of Rubio supporters see global warming as a problem requiring immediate attention..
Sixty nine percent of Clinton supporter are of the opinion that marijuana is no worse than alcohol while 47% of Rubio supporters hold the same opinion.
This RSR ROBBINS SURVEY represents an outcome of 116 Electoral College votes for Hillary Clinton and 93 Electoral College votes for Marco Rubio.
Behind the numbers: (Numbers grossed up to population overall from percentages per ethnic classification, actual voter turnout for ethnic classification not calculated)
Estimate populations (millions of people): 1 California (39); 2 Texas (27); 3 Florida (20); 4 New York (20); 5 Illinois (13); 6 Pennsylvania (13); 7 Ohio (11.5).
Estimates as to Ethnic support (decided but not fully adjusted for gender (“DNFAFG”) :
California: (Caucasian) Hillary Clinton (15 million), Marco Rubio (14.5 million); (Hispanic) Marco Rubio (7 million), Hillary Clinton (4.2 million); (African American) Hillary Clinton (3.3 million), Marco Rubio (1.8 million). Asian Marco Rubio (3 million), Hillary Clinton (1.2 million).
Texas: (Caucasian) Marco Rubio (9.25 million), Hillary Clinton (10 million); (Hispanic) Hillary Clinton (2.8 million), Marco Rubio (5 million); (African American) Marco Rubio (1.2 million), Hillary Clinton (1.8 million), (Asian) Hillary Clinton (quarter million), Marco Rubio (half million plus).
Florida (Caucasian) Hillary Clinton (8.4 million), Marco Rubio (8 million); (Hispanic) Marco Rubio (2.3 million), Hillary Clinton (1.6 million); African American Hillary Clinton (2 million), Marco Rubio (one million); (Asian) Marco Rubio (quarter million), Hillary Clinton (200K).
New York (Caucasian) Marco Rubio (3.5 million), Hillary Clinton (5.8 million); (Hispanic) Hillary Clinton (3.4 million) Marco Rubio (2 million); (African American) Marco Rubio (1 million), Hillary Clinton (2.8 million); (Asian) Hillary Clinton (500K), Marco Rubio (600K)
Illinois (Caucasian) Hillary Clinton (5.1 million), Marco Rubio (5 million); (Hispanic) Marco Rubio (1 million), Hillary Clinton (700K); (African American) Hillary Clinton (2.8 million), Marco Rubio (1.2 million); (Asian) Marco Rubio (400l), Hillary Clinton (200k).
Pennsylvania (Caucasian) Marco Rubio (4.5 million), Hillary Clinton (4.9 million); (Hispanic) Hillary Clinton (200k) Marco Rubio (420k); (African American) Marco Rubio (405k), Hillary Clinton (900k).(Asian) Hillary Clinton (125k), Marco Rubio (120k).
Ohio (Caucasian) Hillary Clinton (4.6 million), Marco Rubio (4.5 million); (Hispanic) Marco Rubio (110,000k), Hillary Clinton (90k); (Asian) Hillary Clinton (90k); Marco Rubio (90k).
This is an RSR ROBBINS Survey of 3,150 American Voters denoted in the survey from time to time as American Electors (to reflect the important nature of the structure of the College Vote). This RSR ROBBINS survey was undertaken between May 1, 2015 and June 15, 2015. In the United States whoever wins the highest percentage of votes in any given State in the Union receives all of the Electoral College (there are some exceptions to this rule). We note in this survey that Marco Rubio narrowly wins California while Hillary Clinton narrowly wins Florida which is Mr. Rubio’s home state. The Margin of Error in this survey based on the number of persons who voted in the last presidential election is 1.75,% 19 times out of 20. This is not a random poll of Americans and there are deficiencies. Women are over represented in all aspects of the overall sample and adjustments had to be made to accommodate this. Commensurately far more anecdote is provided by women respondents than men. Responses per State participants (California), (Texas), (Florida), (New York), (Illinois), (Pennsylvania), (Ohio) are also adjusted significantly to correspond with actual gender and ethnic populations.

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